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A Spatially Explicit Agent-Based Model of the Diffusion of Green Electricity: Model Setup and Retrodictive Validation

机译:基于空间显式代理的绿色电力扩散模型:模型设置和修正验证

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The purpose of this chapter is to propose and illustrate a validation procedure for a spatially explicit ABM of the diffusion of green electricity tariffs in the German electricity market. We focus on two notions of model validity: We report on structural validity by describing the model setup and its empirical and theoretical grounding. Then we challenge simulation results with a rich spatially explicit historical customer data set thus focusing on retrodictive validity. In particular the latter validation exercise can be prototypic for the class of spatially explicit diffusion ABMs in data-rich domains because it systematically scrutinises validity on different levels of agent aggregation.
机译:本章的目的是提出并说明德国电力市场在绿色电力关税扩散的空间明确ABM的验证程序。我们专注于两种模型有效性的概念:我们通过描述模型设置及其实证和理论接地来报告结构有效性。然后我们通过丰富的空间明确的历史客户数据集挑战仿真结果,从而专注于逆述有效性。特别是后一种验证练习可以是数据丰富域中的空间显式扩散ABMS类的原型,因为它系统地审查了不同级别的代理聚合的有效性。

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