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Using Empirical Data for Designing, Calibrating and Validating Simulation Models

机译:使用经验数据进行设计,校准和验证仿真模型

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Many simulation models just model stylised facts, and as such they are interesting and often helpful. But simulation models can be seen as an implementation of theory in a computer, and this is why at least an empirical validation should be aimed at. And if a simulation model is to be validated in a concrete empirical setting, it should be initialised with empirical data in order that one can test whether the model behaves the same way as the target system. The paper discusses two models, their empirical background and validation results, distinguishing between retrospective/predictive validity and structural validity.
机译:许多仿真模型只是模型模型,因此他们很有意思,并且经常有用。但是,仿真模型可以被视为计算机中理论的实现,这是为什么至少应该瞄准实证验证。如果要在混凝土经验设置中验证仿真模型,则应以经验数据初始化,以便您可以测试模型是否与目标系统相同的方式。本文讨论了两种模型,其实证背景和验证结果,区分回顾/预测有效性和结构有效性。

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