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Modelling of historical tsunami in eastern Indonesia: 1674 Ambon and 1992 Flores case studies

机译:印度尼西亚东部历史海啸的建模:1674 Ambon和1992年Flores案例研究

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In order to reliably assess tsunami hazard in eastern Indonesia, we need to understand how historical events were generated. Here we consider two such events: the 1674 Ambon and the 1992 Flores tsunamis. Firstly, Ambon Island suffered a devastating earthquake that generated a tsunami with 100 m run-up height on the north coast of the island in 1674. However, there is no known active fault around the island capable of generating such a gigantic wave. Rumphius' report describes that the initial wave was coming from three villages that collapsed immediately after the earthquake with width as far as a musket shot. Moreover, a very high tsunami was only observed locally. We suspect that a submarine landslide was the main cause of the gigantic tsunami on the north side of Ambon Island. Unfortunately, there is no data available to confirm if landslide have occurred in this region. Secondly, several tsunami source models for the 1992 Flores event have been suggested. However, the fault strike is quite different compare to the existing Flores back-arc thrust and has not been well validated against a tide gauge waveform at Palopo, Sulawesi. We considered a tsunami model based on Griffin, et al., 2015, extended with high resolution bathymetry laround Palopo, in order to validate the latest tsunami source model available. In general, the model produces a good agreement with tsunami waveforms, but arrives 10 minutes late compared to observed data. In addition, the source overestimates the tsunami inundation west of Maumere, and does not account for the presumed landslide tsunami on the east side of Flores Island.
机译:为了可靠地评估印度尼西亚东部的海啸危害,我们需要了解如何产生历史事件。在这里,我们考虑了两项这样的事件:1674年的Ambon和1992年Flores海啸。首先,安汶岛遭遇了一个毁灭性的地震,在1674年在岛北海岸的北海岸产生了一个海啸的地震。然而,岛上没有明显的有源故障,能够产生这种巨大的波浪。 Rumphius的报告描述了初始波从三个村庄到来,宽度在地震后立即折叠,宽度宽度较远。此外,唯一在本地观察到非常高的海啸。我们怀疑潜水艇滑坡是阿勃尔岛北侧巨大海啸的主要原因。不幸的是,如果在该地区发生了山体滑坡,则没有可用于确认的数据。其次,已经提出了1992年弗洛雷斯活动的几个海啸源模型。然而,与现有的弗洛雷斯反弧推力相比,故障袭击与现有的弗洛雷斯相比不同,并且在苏拉韦斯帕洛普岛的潮汐仪表波形上没有得到充分的验证。我们考虑了基于Griffin等人的海啸模型,2015年,与高分辨率沐浴术基延伸,以验证最新的海啸源模式。通常,该模型与海啸波形产生良好的一致性,但与观察到的数据相比,10分钟到达。此外,该来源还高估了Maumere以西的海啸淹没,并不会考虑Flores岛东侧的推定滑坡海啸。

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