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Research on the Relationship between Air Transport Capacity Upgrading and Economic Growth from the Perspective of Externality -Take Guizhou Province for Example

机译:从外部性的角度看空运能力升级与经济增长关系研究 - 例如,贵州省

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How is the dependence on air transport in the post-development area? Does it exist and what spillover effects exist? It is not enough in theory and experience. On the basis of reviewing the theoretical relationship between transportation infrastructure and regional economic growth, taking air traffic volume and regional GDP in Guizhou province from 1998 to 2017 as the research object, VAR model is applied to analyze the linkage mechanism between the two. The research shows, whether it is the absolute effect of generalized impulse response or the relative effect of variance decomposition, the promotion of air transport capacity to economic growth is far more important than economic growth to air transport, and the improvement of Guizhou's air transport capacity has a negative externality to regional economic growth in the short term; the effect of economic growth on aviation is not obvious, it shows that Guizhou economy in the economic take-off stage is less dependent on air transport, but the dependence on follow-up development will gradually increase.
机译:如何在开发后区域依赖航空运输?是否存在并且存在溢出效应是什么?理论和经验还不够。在审查运输基础设施与区域经济增长之间的理论关系的基础上,从1998年到2017年以2017年从贵州省占领贵州省的空中交通量和区域GDP作为研究对象,应用了VAR模型分析了两者之间的联动机制。研究表明,无论是广义脉冲响应的绝对效果还是方差分解的相对效果,促进航空运输能力的经济增长远远比经济增长更重要,以及贵州航空运输能力的改善在短期内对区域经济增长有负面的外部性;经济增长对航空的影响并不明显,表明贵州经济在经济起飞阶段不太依赖航空运输,但对后续发展的依赖将逐步增加。

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