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A comprehensive review on uncertainty of renewable energy and its prospect to fulfil Indonesia's renewable target

机译：可再生能源的不确定性综述履行印度尼西亚可再生目标的展望

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Indonesia has targets on renewable energy (RE) development as shown in National Energy Policy. The RE plan should be carefully planned because it is so important. Uncertainty is a big problem in RE development. To handle correctly the uncertainty, it needs to understand all aspects about the uncertainty. A comprehensive review is needed to get a complete understanding of the uncertainty. After that, it can be known the prospects of RE implementation to reach the targets. This research has done a comprehensive review on uncertainty problems in power systems and has done an analysis about the prospects of Indonesia's RE to fulfil their targets. The research's aims are to find a method to handle correctly the uncertainty and to know the RE prospect to fulfil the targets. Review's results showed the appropriate generation expansion planning model to handle uncertainties is independent-Montecarlo simulation-Brownian motion by considering uncertainty on demand side, power plant, and transmission & distribution (T&D), energy resource, and government policy. The RE resources, the current situation of RE usage, the RE target, and the existing of government planning on RE power plants development showed RE has high prospects and capable to fulfil their target.
机译：印度尼西亚有针对国家能源政策所示的可再生能源（重新）发展的目标。应该仔细计划重新计划，因为它非常重要。不确定性是重新发展中的一个大问题。要正确处理不确定性，需要了解不确定性的所有方面。需要全面的审查来完全了解不确定性。之后，可以知道重新实施以实现目标的前景。本研究对电力系统的不确定性问题进行了全面的审查，并对印度尼西亚的追求符合其目标进行了分析。该研究的目标是找到一个正确处理的方法来处理不确定性并知道重新展望履行目标。回顾结果表明，通过考虑需求侧，发电厂和传输和分配（T＆D），能源和政府政策，通过考虑不确定性，适当的发电扩展规划模型是独立的蒙特卡洛仿真 - 布朗运动。重新资源，目前的重新使用情况，重新目标和政府规划在电厂开发的政府规划中显示，重新前景高，能够履行其目标。

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