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Modeling Inflation and Money Supply using Spatial Vector Autoregressive (1,1)

机译：使用空间向量自回归（1,1）建模通货膨胀和货币供应

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Economically, Inflation is influenced by Inflation in the previous period and Inflation of other cities. Likewise, with the Money Supply. In addition, Inflation is also related to the Money Supply. The purpose of this study is to examine spatio-temporal relationships of Inflation and Money Supply of four cities in East Java (Surabaya, Malang, Kediri and Jember) simultaneously. A Spatial Vector Autoregressive (SpVAR) model was used to examine the relationship. SpVAR is a model that can be used to find the relationship between several variables at the same location at previous periods, also the relationship between several variables at different locations at previous periods. The results of this study are the the Inflation of Malang is affected by Inflation of three other cities a month earlier. Inflation of Jember is affected by Inflation of Jember a month earlier. Money Supply of Jember, Surabaya and Malang are influenced by the Money Supply one month earlier from the city itself. In addition, Money Supply of Kediri is affected by Inflation of three other cities a month earlier, Money Supply of Kediri and Money Supply of the other three cities a month earlier.
机译：在经济上，通货膨胀受到前期通胀的影响和其他城市的通货膨胀。同样，随着货币供应。此外，通货膨胀也与货币供应有关。本研究的目的是检查东爪哇（Surabaya，Malang，Kediri和Jember）的四个城市通货膨胀和货币供应的时空关系。空间矢量自回归（SPVAR）模型用于检查关系。 SPVAR是一种模型，可以用于在前一段时间内在同一位置找到多个变量之间的关系，也是上一段不同位置的多个变量之间的关系。本研究的结果是玛琅的通货膨胀受到每月三个其他城市的通货膨胀的影响。九月的通货膨胀受到每月前期通货膨胀的影响。苏坎巴和玛朗的金钱供应受到城市本身的一个月内的金钱供应的影响。此外，Kediri的货币供应受到每月三个其他城市的通货膨胀的影响，每月kediri的金钱供应和其他三个城市的货币供应。

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