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首页> 外文会议>SPE/AAPG/SEG Unconventional Resources Technology Conference >Revisiting Production Outlooks of the Eagle Ford and Bakken Plays:Analysis of the Well Productivity and Play Economics Changes Over the Last 5 Years
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Revisiting Production Outlooks of the Eagle Ford and Bakken Plays:Analysis of the Well Productivity and Play Economics Changes Over the Last 5 Years

机译：重新审视Eagle Ford和Bakken Plays的生产前景：对过去5年来的井生产力和经济学变化的分析

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In 2015-2016,the Resource Assessment team from the Bureau of Economic Geology of the University of Texas at Austin conducted its analysis of the Williston Basin and Eagle Ford play,providing the estimates of the resource in place,technically recoverable resource,and production outlook projections.The outlook projections for each play were found to be heavily dependent on the price environment and technological advances.Almost four years later,we revisit our results to check the accuracy of our original predictions,identify missing factors influencing each play development,and suggest ways to improve outlook modeling.Notably,we focus on changes in individual well's productivity and suggest a new procedure to improve productivity predictions and the accuracy of our outlook projections.Random forest machine learning algorithm is applied to the original database updated with additional geologic,production,and completion data.We also present a discussion on the importance of drilling financing modeling,a new block of the outlook model built to capture,explain,and enhance projections of both play's development dynamics.
机译：2015 - 2016年，奥斯汀德克萨斯大学经济地质局资源评估小组对威斯顿盆地和鹰福特戏进行了分析，提供了资源的估计，技术可恢复的资源和生产前景预测。发现每个剧本的前景投影都依赖于价格环境和技术进步。最重要的四年后，我们重新审视我们的结果，以检查我们原始预测的准确性，确定影响每个发挥开发的缺失因素，并提出改善Outlook模型的方法。和完成数据。我们还讨论了钻井融资的重要性ING建模，建立了一个新的Outlook模型块，用于捕获，解释和增强播放的开发动态的预测。

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