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首页> 外文会议>CSNT 2013 >Stock Market Prediction Accuracy Analysis Using Kappa Measure Rahul Gupta*, Nidhi Garg + and Sanjay Singh++ *++ Department of Information and Communication Technology Manipal Institute of Technology, Manipal University, Manipal-576104; India Email:{rahul.gupta.engg@gmail.com, sanjay.singh@ieee.org} t Department of Computer Science, Jaipur National University, Jaipur, India Email:nidhigargjaipur@gmail.com
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Stock Market Prediction Accuracy Analysis Using Kappa Measure Rahul Gupta*, Nidhi Garg + and Sanjay Singh++ *++ Department of Information and Communication Technology Manipal Institute of Technology, Manipal University, Manipal-576104; India Email:{rahul.gupta.engg@gmail.com, sanjay.singh@ieee.org} t Department of Computer Science, Jaipur National University, Jaipur, India Email:nidhigargjaipur@gmail.com

机译：股市预测准确性分析使用kappa衡量Rahul Gupta *，Nidhi Garg +和Sanjay Singh ++ * ++信息和通信技术部长医学院，宣布医学院，Manipal-576104;印度电子邮件：{Rahul.gupta.engg@gmail.com，sanjay.singh@ieee.org}斋浦尔国立大学计算机科学系，斋浦尔，印度电子邮件：nidhigargjaipur@gmail.com

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摘要

The nature of stock market is highly stochastic which can only be predicted. There are various companies and news channels which uses different data analysis tool to forecast the behavior of the stocks on day to day basis. They also provide tips and recommendations to buy and sell certain stocks which will lead to more profit. As there are many news channels, websites and organizations which are doing this, it is very difficult for the buyer/seller, to judge whom to believe and whom to ignore. In this paper, we have applied kappa measure to quantify the accuracy of stock market prediction by various media houses. The stock with the highest kappa measure can be considered to be the best stock to buy. Moreover, Kappa measure also finds the risk involved in the purchase/sale of each shares. Thus instead of believing on a particular channel, newspaper or website for the stocks that should be purchased/sold, its combinations are used which improves the confidence in stock market recommendation.
机译：股市的本质是它只能预测高度随机的。有各种企业和使用不同的数据分析工具来预测股票在日常工作中的行为的新闻频道。他们还提供提示和建议买入和卖出某些股票，这将导致更多的利润。由于有许多新闻频道，网站和组织其这样做，是为买方/卖方很困难，判断谁相信而为之忽略。在本文中，我们已经申请卡帕措施通过各种媒体之家量化股市预测的准确率。最高卡帕措施的股票可以认为是购买的最好的股票。此外，卡帕措施也发现参与各股份购买/销售的风险。因此，不是相信在一个特定的频道，报纸或网站应购买/卖出的股票，其组合使用从而提高了股市的建议的信心。

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