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The effect of potential discharges on the stability of the Rosetta promontory, Egypt

机译:潜在放电对埃及Rosetta海角稳定性的影响

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The Nile River is an Egyptian cultural symbol. The Nile provides almost all the fresh water used by 90 million Egyptian living along its banks. Over the past decades, there have been heated debates over the pros and cons of building large dams Tilt et al. (2009).The Great Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) is built on the Blue Nile River, in the western part of Ethiopia about 40 kilometres from Sudan's border. It is expected that GERD will create a reservoir with maximum net head and total height of 133 and 145 m respectively. A study of environmental impact of GERD on the Egyptian water resources and security was performed [1], they concluded that, GERD will have a potential effect on the water share of Egypt during the filling of its resevoir. The potential effect of that dam on the stability and efficiency of the Rosetta promontory, the terminal of the Nile River with the Mediterranean Sea, is investigated by using the Coastal Modeling System software. Field data of wave,wind, tide, sediment characteristics and bed morphology are used to construct and calibrate the model. The developed model scenarios contain the reduction in the water discharge to the sea in increments of 25% from 100% to 25% which corresponds to the damfilling period from 2 years to 6 years. The other scenarios allow the maximum discharge through the Nile branch continuously for two months to represent the case of the dam's destruction. CMS model has been set up and calibrated. The results show that a good agreement with the measurements can be picked up. The model was firstly run for one year with the normal case of flow discharges and hydrodynamic force as a base for comparison. Six cross sections inside the Rosetta Inlet were utilized to compare the morphology of bed profiles for the different scenarios. Seven beach profiles were also used to investigate the effect of the different scenarios on the coastal area.
机译:尼罗河是埃及文化象征。尼罗河几乎提供了沿岸的9000万埃及人使用的淡水。在过去的几十年中,对大型水坝的利弊进行了加热辩论Tilt等。 (2009年)。伟大的埃塞俄比亚文艺复兴水坝(GERD)建于埃塞俄比亚的西部大约40公里的埃塞俄比亚的蓝尼罗河。预计GERD将创建具有最大净头的储层,分别为133和145米的总高度。对埃及水资源和安全性对壮观的环境影响的研究进行了[1],他们得出结论认为,GERD将对埃及填补其斥控期间的埃及水分潜在影响。利用沿海建模系统软件研究了该大坝对尼罗河河河道的稳定性和效率的潜在效果。波,风,潮,沉积物特征和床形态的现场数据用于构建和校准模型。开发的模型情景含有从100%到25%的增量降低海上的水排放量,这对应于2年至6年的碎裂期。另一种情况允许连续通过尼罗河分支放电两个月来代表大坝破坏的情况。 CMS模型已设置和校准。结果表明,可以获得与测量的良好一致。该模型首先运行一年,流量排出的正常情况和流体动力学力作为比较的基础。利用Rosetta入口内部的六个横截面来比较不同场景的床型材的形态。七种海滩型材也用于调查不同场景对沿海地区的影响。

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