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The SIR Model of Zika Virus Disease Outbreak in Brazil at Year 2015

机译：2015年巴西Zika病毒疾病爆发的SIR模型

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摘要

This research study demonstrates a numerical model intended for comprehension the spread of the year 2015 Zika virus disease utilizing the standard SIR framework. In modeling virulent disease dynamics, it is important to explore whether the illness spread could accomplish a pandemic level or it could be eradicated. Information from the year 2015 Zika virus disease event is utilized and Brazil where the event began is considered in this research study. A three dimensional nonlinear differential equation is formulated and solved numerically utilizing the Euler's method in MS excel. It is appeared from the research study that, with health intercessions of public, the viable regenerative number can be decreased making it feasible for the event to cease to exist. It is additionally indicated numerically that the pandemic can just cease to exist when there are no new infected people in the populace.
机译：该研究表明，利用标准先生框架来理解2015年Zika病毒疾病的扩散的数值模型。在造型毒性疾病动态中，重要的是探索疾病蔓延是否可以实现大流行水平或者它可能被抹去。来自2015年的信息，利用了Zika病毒疾病事件，并在该研究中考虑了这项活动开始的巴西。在MS Excel中配方并在数值上使用欧拉方法来制定三维非线性微分方程。从研究的研究中出现，随着公众的健康障碍，可以减少可行的再生数，使得事件不再存在。它另外表现出大流行只能在群体中没有新的受感染者时停止存在。

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