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SIMULATION OF THE JANUARY 2014 POLAR VORTEX AND ITS IMPACTS ON INTERDEPENDENT ELECTRIC-NATURAL GAS INFRASTRUCTURE

机译：2014年1月仿真极地涡流及其对相互依存电气天然气基础设施的影响

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摘要

The development of tools that appropriately simulate electric-natural gas interdependencies and their resulting propagation of disturbances within and between systems is a particular need of system operators. The need for such tools is further emphasized by the January 2014 Polar Vortex event, where the response of the electric power and natural gas systems further highlighted the importance of the coordinated assessment of interdependent systems when a large diversion of natural gas to non-electric customers created unexpected consequences in the electric sector. This paper documents ongoing modeling and assessment activities of the Argonne Electric Power-Natural Gas Integrated Model and demonstrates the estimated impacts for this historic disruptive event. This paper presents a description of the Polar Vortex event, the modeling approach and methods used, including the assumptions, data, and modeling platform, and provides simulation results showing agreement with historically reported impacts, in both spatial and quantitative terms, to validate model performance.
机译：开发适当模拟电气天然气相互依存的工具及其在系统内和之间产生的干扰传播是系统运营商的特殊需要。 2014年1月的极地涡流事件进一步强调了这种工具的需求，其中电力和天然气系统的响应进一步强调了当天然气对非电信客户的大转移时相互依存系统协调评估的重要性在电力领域创造了意想不到的后果。本文介绍了Argonne电力 - 天然气综合模型的持续建模和评估活动，并展示了这一历史性破坏性事件的估计影响。本文介绍了极地涡流事件的描述，使用的建模方法和方法，包括假设，数据和建模平台，并提供仿真结果，显示与空间和定量术语的历史上报告的影响达成协议，以验证模型性能。

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