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Simulation of the January 2014 polar vortex and its impacts on interdependent electric-natural gas infrastructure

机译：2014年1月极地涡旋的模拟及其对相互依存的电力天然气基础设施的影响

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The development of tools that appropriately simulate electric-natural gas interdependencies and their resulting propagation of disturbances within and between systems is a particular need of system operators. The need for such tools is further emphasized by the January 2014 Polar Vortex event, where the response of the electric power and natural gas systems further highlighted the importance of the coordinated assessment of interdependent systems when a large diversion of natural gas to non-electric customers created unexpected consequences in the electric sector. This paper documents ongoing modeling and assessment activities of the Argonne Electric Power-Natural Gas Integrated Model and demonstrates the estimated impacts for this historic disruptive event. This paper presents a description of the Polar Vortex event, the modeling approach and methods used, including the assumptions, data, and modeling platform, and provides simulation results showing agreement with historically reported impacts, in both spatial and quantitative terms, to validate model performance.
机译：适当地模拟电-天然气相互依赖性及其在系统内部和系统之间引起的干扰传播的工具的开发是系统操作员的特殊需求。 2014年1月的Polar Vortex活动进一步强调了对此类工具的需求，在该活动中，电力和天然气系统的响应进一步突出了当天然气大量转移给非电力客户时对相互依赖系统进行协调评估的重要性。在电力部门造成了意想不到的后果。本文记录了正在进行的Argonne电力-天然气综合模型的建模和评估活动，并演示了此历史性破坏性事件的估计影响。本文介绍了Polar Vortex事件，所使用的建模方法和方法（包括假设，数据和建模平台）的描述，并提供了模拟结果，这些结果在空间和数量方面均显示了与历史报道的影响的一致性，以验证模型的性能。

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