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首页> 外文会议>Proceedings of the 43rd annual loss prevention symposium >On the use of consequence models for accident investigations
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On the use of consequence models for accident investigations

机译：关于后果模型在事故调查中的使用

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Accident investigations are performed to understand the cause of an accident to avoid it from happening again. Consequence models can contribute understanding the chain of events that led to the accident such as where the ignition occurred (including indicating hat the ignition source was), how much fuel was involved in the accident, can explain damage that was seen, help identifying the source of leak of flammable material released and estimating the potential consequences of an event. The models can also be used to identify and design protection measures after an accident.rnIn the present paper several examples of use of a consequence model (FLACS) for accident investigations performed are given. The examples give an insight of e.g. sub-models that needed to be developed and implemented to be able to verify observations made and to identify possible related causes of the accident, they show how to represent geometrical details including failing structural components and discuss necessary validation of sub-models used/implemented.
机译：进行事故调查以了解事故原因，以免再次发生。结果模型可以帮助理解导致事故发生的事件链，例如发生点火的位置（包括指出点火源的帽子），事故中涉及的燃料量，可以解释所见到的损害，帮助识别事故源。释放的易燃材料泄漏的情况，并估计事件的潜在后果。这些模型还可以用于识别和设计事故后的防护措施。在本文中，给出了使用后果模型（FLACS）进行事故调查的几个示例。这些示例提供了例如需要开发和实施的子模型能够验证观察到的结果并确定事故的可能相关原因，它们展示了如何表示包括故障结构组件在内的几何细节，并讨论了对使用/实施的子模型的必要验证。

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