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Evaluation Model of Sustainable Development in Coastal Zone--A Case Study of Guangdong Province

机译：沿海地区可持续发展评价模型-以广东省为例

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摘要

Coastal zone is the area where ocean and land interact with each other and its ecosystem has the characteristics of being compound, marginal and active. Because of the special significance of coastal zone for human being and earth system, its sustainable development is an important integral part of global strategy of sustainable development. Based on the principle of coordinated development of the subsystems of coastal zone, such as economy, society, population, resources and environment, the paper establishes the assessment indicator system of sustainable development of coastal zone, sets up a dynamic coupling model of socioeconomic system and eco-environment system with the thought of system evolution in modern system theory, evaluates the coordinated development degree and evolutionary process of the two subsystems and finally makes positive analysis with Guangdong Province as the example. During the period from 1996 to 2007, coastal zone of Guangdong Province experienced a deep change from natural resources to ecological environment and from development intensity to use type. The coordination degree of socioeconomic system and eco-environment system started to go beyond 90° since 1998. Large-scale system formed by these two systems is in a state of degradation. The development degree of socioeconomic system goes far beyond the capacity of eco-environment and coordination degree is restricted.
机译：海岸带是海洋和陆地相互影响的区域，其生态系统具有复合，边缘和活跃的特征。由于沿海地区对人类和地球系统的特殊意义，其可持续发展是全球可持续发展战略的重要组成部分。基于沿海地区经济，社会，人口，资源，环境等子系统协调发展的原则，建立了沿海地区可持续发展评价指标体系，建立了社会经济系统动态耦合模型。以现代系统论中的系统演化思想为基础的生态环境系统，评价了两个子系统的协调发展程度和演化过程，并以广东省为例进行了实证分析。从1996年到2007年，广东省沿海地区经历了从自然资源到生态环境，从开发强度到利用类型的深刻变化。自1998年以来，社会经济系统与生态环境系统的协调度开始超过90°。这两个系统形成的大规模系统处于退化状态。社会经济系统的发展程度远远超过了生态环境的能力，协调程度受到限制。

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