China’s economic growth and its real exchange rate puzzle

机译：中国经济增长及其实际汇率之谜

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This paper focuses on China’s real exchange rate movements since the country’s reform in 1978. It analyzes productivity as the determination of long-run real exchange rate under the Balassa- Samuelson framework, and finds that rural population dampens the BS effect in China.

机译：本文着眼于1978年改革开放以来中国的实际汇率变动。它以生产率为基础，根据Balassa-Samuelson框架确定了长期实际汇率，并发现农村人口削弱了中国的BS效应。

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来源
《2009 International Institute of Applied Statistics Studies(2009 国际应用统计学术研讨会）论文集》|2009年|1-5|共5页
会议地点 Qingdao(CN)
作者
LI Xinying;
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作者单位

Department of Economics, Duke University, NC 27705, U.S.A.;

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会议组织
原文格式 PDF
正文语种 eng
中图分类统计学;
关键词
Balassa-Samuelson Effect; Cointegration;

机译：Balassa-Samuelson效应；协整;

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1. Real exchange rate and economic growth in China: A cointegrated VAR approach [J] . Tang Bo China Economic Review . 2015,第Null期

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3. Real Effective Exchange Rate and Regional Economic Growth in China: Evidence from Provincial Data [J] . Guo Yan, Sheng Li, Yaqi Lin, China & World Economy . 2016,第6期

机译：实际有效汇率与中国区域经济增长：来自省级数据的证据
4. China’s economic growth and its real exchange rate puzzle [C] . LI Xinying International Institute of Applied Statistics Studies . 2009

机译：中国经济增长及其实际汇率难题
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7. Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Transition Economies: The Case of the Republic of Macedonia Abstract: This paper investigates the relative costs and benefits associated with introducing a different exchange rate regime in the Republic of Macedonia. In this finding, all econometrics results, using different methodologies (SVAR and VECM), show that introducing a different strategy of the exchange rate targeting in order to promote rapid economic growth could easy disturb macroeconomic stability (after having achieved it at a substantial cost) without any significant economic benefits. In the long term, the coefficient of exchange rate reveals that a one percent change in the exchange rate will generate an increase in the prices level of 0.52 percent, indicating that 52 percent of changes in the exchange rate feed into the prices level. The investigation suggests that introducing a different strategy of the exchange rate regime is likely to incur more costs than benefits. [O] . Besnik Fetai 100

机译：转型经济体的汇率传递：马其顿共和国案例摘要：本文研究了在马其顿共和国引入不同汇率制度所带来的相对成本和收益。在这一发现中，使用不同方法（sVaR和VECm）的所有计量经济学结果表明，引入不同的汇率目标战略以促进经济的快速增长可能容易扰乱宏观经济稳定性（在以相当大的成本实现后）没有任何重大的经济利益。从长期来看，汇率系数表明，汇率的百分之一变化将使价格水平上升0.52％，表明汇率变化的52％会进入价格水平。调查表明，引入不同的汇率制度策略可能会带来更多的成本而不是收益。

China’s economic growth and its real exchange rate puzzle

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