Predicting Traffic Bursts Using Extreme Value Theory

机译：使用极值理论预测交通突发

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Traffic bursts appear to be more pronounced recently and have major consequences for network quality of service. We investigate the extreme behavior of bursts and quantify the probabilities of these large bursts. Taking Bellcore internal Ethernet traces as an example, we applied generalized extreme value model over block maxima. The analysis reveals that traffic burst maxima follows GEV model with negative shape parameter. Traffic bursts are in the domain of attraction of Weibull distribution. Our result confirms the conclusion of Norros of storage fed with Gaussian self-similar input.

机译：流量突发最近似乎更加明显，并且对网络服务质量产生了重大影响。我们调查突发的极端行为并量化这些大突发的概率。以Bellcore内部以太网跟踪为例，我们在块最大值上应用了广义极值模型。分析表明，交通突发最大值遵循具有负形状参数的GEV模型。交通突发是威布尔分布吸引的领域。我们的结果证实了以高斯自相似输入为输入的存储Norros的结论。

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《Signal Acquisition and Processing, 2009. ICSAP 2009》|2009年|229-233|共5页
会议地点 Kuala Lumpur(MY);Kuala Lumpur(MY)
作者
Dahab A.Y.; Said A.M.; Hasbullah H.;
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Comput. Inf. Sci. Dept., Univ. Teknol. PETRONAS, Tronoh, Malaysia;

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quality of service; telecommunication traffic; wireless LAN; Bellcore internal Ethernet; Weibull distribution; extreme value theory; traffic bursts; Bursts; GEV; Prediction; self-similar;

机译：服务质量;电信流量;无线局域网;贝尔核心内部以太网;威布尔分布;极值理论;流量突发;突发; GEV;预测;自相似;

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1. Traffic Data Analysis Based on Extreme Value Theory and Its Applications to Predicting Unknown Serious Deterioration [J] . Masato UCHIDA IEICE Transactions on Information and Systems . 2004,第12期

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2. Traffic load modelling and factors influencing the accuracy of predicted extremes [J] . Alan OConnor, Eugene J. OBrien Canadian Journal of Civil Engineering . 2005,第1期

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3. Traffic Analysis And Traffic-smoothing Burst Assembly Methods For The Optical Burst Switching Network [J] . Ping DU, Shunji ABE IEICE Transactions on Communications . 2007,第7期

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4. Predicting Traffic Bursts using Extreme Value Theory [C] . Abdelmahamoud Youssouf Dahab, Abas Md Said, Halabi Hasbullah International Conference on Signal Acquisition and Processing . 2009

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6. Enhancing the Quality of Service for Real Time Traffic over Optical Burst Switching (OBS) Networks with Ensuring the Fairness for Other Traffics [O] . Mohammed A. Al-Shargabi, Asadullah Shaikh, Abdulsamad S. Ismail -1

机译：通过确保其他流量的公平性来提高光突发交换（OBS）网络上实时流量的服务质量
7. Traffic load modelling and factors influencing the accuracy of predicted extremes [O] . O'Connor, Alan, O'Brien, Eugene J. 2005

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8. Sudden Frequency Deviations, Solar Extreme Ultraviolets Bursts, and Solar Radio Bursts [R] . Richards, D. W. 1971

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Predicting Traffic Bursts Using Extreme Value Theory

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