Prediction of hydrological extremes by air circulation indices

机译：通过空气循环指数预测极端水文

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The study of air circulation variability is important for a better understanding of river runoff. Research presented in this paper describes an attempt to find a link between air circulation on a large regional scale, and hydrological extremes of Carpathian river discharges in warm and cold seasons. The relationship between the North Atlantic Oscillation in winter, the Scandinavian baric system, and maximum and minimum river discharges was investigated over the period 1951-2000. Multiple correlation analysis was used. Some interesting relationships were found and multiple correlation formulae were developed for a few Carpathian basins. They may be used for hydrological forecasts of Carpathian extreme river discharges and they may allow the implementation of a warning system for extreme river events.

机译：空气循环变化的研究对于更好地了解河流径流非常重要。本文提出的研究描述了一种尝试，即在较大的区域范围内寻找空气循环与在温暖和寒冷季节的喀尔巴阡河流量的水文极端现象之间的联系。在1951-2000年期间，研究了冬季北大西洋涛动，斯堪的纳维亚的重压系统以及最大和最小河流流量之间的关系。使用了多重相关分析。发现了一些有趣的关系，并为几个喀尔巴阡盆地开发了多个相关公式。它们可用于喀尔巴阡河极端河流流量的水文预报，并可用于实施极端河流事件的预警系统。

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来源
《Symposium on Water Resources Systems - Water Availability and Global Change; Jun 30-Jul 11, 2003; Sapporo, Japan》|2003年|p.134-141|共8页
会议地点 Sapporo(JP);Sapporo(JP)
作者
JOANNA POCIASK-KARTECZKA; ZENON NIECKARZ; DANUTA LIMANOWKA;
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作者单位

Institute of Geography and Spatial Management, Jagiellonian University, ul. Grodzka 64, 31-044 Krakow, Poland;

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会议组织
原文格式 PDF
正文语种 eng
中图分类水利工程;
关键词
carpathian mountains; hydrological extremes; multiple regression; north atlantic oscillation; river discharge; SCAND; teleconnections; winter hurrell index;

机译：喀尔巴阡山脉；水文学极端；多元回归；北大西洋振荡；河水流量； SCAND；电话联系；冬季hurrell指数;

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机译：通过气候服务改善极端水文的预测和管理

Prediction of hydrological extremes by air circulation indices

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