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Modeling of Real Estate Price Oscillations in Istanbul

机译:伊斯坦布尔房地产价格波动的建模

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摘要

The purpose of this study is to develop an understanding of the dynamics of the real estate market in Istanbul. As a result of the unavoidable delays in perception of the real estate market state and construction of new buildings, the market variables are strongly oscillatory. A system dynamics model is constructed to understand the reasons of oscillations in real estate prices in Istanbul from the perspective of some major construction company. The model includes dynamics created by factors effecting the speed and size of the construction side and sales. The model focuses on the economic balance aspects of the problem and pays less attention to the dynamics of demand creation, the effects of costs and interest rates. Different policies are tested to improve the current oscillatory behavior. This model can serve as a simulation basis for foreseeing the reaction of the market to changes in the structure and inputs.
机译:这项研究的目的是加深对伊斯坦布尔房地产市场动态的了解。由于不可避免地延迟了对房地产市场状况和新建筑建造的认识,因此市场变量极具震撼力。建立了系统动力学模型,以从一些大型建筑公司的角度了解伊斯坦布尔房地产价格波动的原因。该模型包括由影响施工方的速度和规模以及销售的因素创建的动力学。该模型侧重于问题的经济平衡方面,而较少关注需求创造的动态,成本和利率的影响。测试了不同的策略以改善当前的振荡行为。该模型可以作为模拟基础,以预测市场对结构和投入变化的反应。

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