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Modeling of Real Estate Price Oscillations in Istanbul

机译：伊斯坦布尔房地产价格振动建模

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The purpose of this study is to develop an understanding of the dynamics of the real estate market in Istanbul. As a result of the unavoidable delays in perception of the real estate market state and construction of new buildings, the market variables are strongly oscillatory. A system dynamics model is constructed to understand the reasons of oscillations in real estate prices in Istanbul from the perspective of some major construction company. The model includes dynamics created by factors effecting the speed and size of the construction side and sales. The model focuses on the economic balance aspects of the problem and pays less attention to the dynamics of demand creation, the effects of costs and interest rates. Different policies are tested to improve the current oscillatory behavior. This model can serve as a simulation basis for foreseeing the reaction of the market to changes in the structure and inputs.
机译：本研究的目的是了解伊斯坦布尔房地产市场的动态。由于对房地产市场状态和新建筑的建设感知的不可避免的延误，市场变量强烈振荡。构建一个系统动力学模型，了解一些主要建筑公司的伊斯坦布尔房地产价格振荡原因。该模型包括由影响施工方面和销售速度和尺寸的因素产生的动态。该模型侧重于问题的经济平衡方面，不太关注需求创造的动态，成本和利率的影响。测试不同的政策以提高电流振荡行为。该模型可以作为预见市场反应的模拟依据，以便将市场反应变为结构和投入的变化。

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