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首页> 外文会议>System Dynamics Society International Conference; System Dynamics Society Anniversary Celebration; 20070729-0802; 20070729-0802; Boston,MA(US); Boston,MA(US) >Sustainability Model for the Valsequillo Lake in Puebla, Mexico: Combining System Dynamics and Sustainable Urban Development
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Sustainability Model for the Valsequillo Lake in Puebla, Mexico: Combining System Dynamics and Sustainable Urban Development

机译：墨西哥普埃布拉州Valsequillo湖的可持续性模型：系统动力学与可持续城市发展相结合

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摘要

This paper reports on an on-going project on urban sustainability of the Valsequillo Lake in Puebla, Mexico and the Puerto Aura to be developed in this region. The purpose of the study is to build a simulation model to explore the dynamic interaction of the dimensions inherent in sustainable urban development. After a systematic review of Sustainable Urban Development (SUD) frameworks and tools used in various part of the world, the paper designs a model that considers the variables that intervene in SUD and proposes a System Dynamics model to simulate the dimensions that intervene in a sustainable development of this type and to anticipate the consequences of the decision making process. The structure and inter-relationships of the model sectors are described, the sustainability indicators in each sector explained; preliminary conclusions are drawn stating that a complete run of the model simulating a 20 years horizon in monthly periods is expected when the full data from the Puerto Aura master plan becomes available.
机译：本文报道了正在进行中的关于墨西哥普埃布拉州的Valsequillo湖和该地区正在开发的Puerto Aura的城市可持续性项目。该研究的目的是建立一个仿真模型，以探索可持续城市发展中固有维度之间的动态相互作用。在对世界各地使用的可持续城市发展（SUD）框架和工具进行系统回顾之后，本文设计了一个模型，该模型考虑了干预SUD的变量，并提出了系统动力学模型来模拟干预可持续性发展的各个方面。开发这种类型并预期决策过程的后果。描述了示范部门的结构和相互关系，并解释了每个部门的可持续性指标；初步结论表明，当获得来自Puerto Aura总体规划的全部数据时，该模型的完整运行将在每月周期内模拟20年。

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