首页> 外文学位 >Spatio-temporal dependence of precipitation over the contiguous United States.
【24h】

Spatio-temporal dependence of precipitation over the contiguous United States.

机译:连续美国降水的时空依赖性。

获取原文
获取原文并翻译 | 示例

摘要

This thesis develops several unique different precipitation statistics and verification measures that are applicable to scales relevant to global climate models, regional models and hydrological runoff models, through a series of three papers.; The first section of the dissertation is motivated by the fact that climate models are unable to account for the variability of precipitation within a grid box, and that other hydrologically critical precipitation characteristics, such as intensity and frequency, are often times overlooked in the literature. Several issues related to spatial averaging of these two measures are investigated. Rain gauge reports and radar precipitation analyses are used here to address three issues related to the areal estimation of intensity and frequency of precipitation. Differences between the order of spatial and temporal averaging methods are proven to be significant; therefore quantifying these differences is critical for both climate model diagnostics and downscaling applications.; The second section documents spatio-temporal statistics of hourly fine-scale precipitation analyses for the continental U.S. The spatio-temporal coherence of precipitation fields, quantified under the assumption of isotropy, reveals significant seasonal and geographical variations. Anisotropic factors are then considered to obtain estimates of the mean movement and orientation of the precipitating storm systems. The dissertation provides new methodology to quantify the spatio-temporal variability of observed and modeled precipitation that offers new insight into how to correct erroneous model simulations.; The methodologies are used to evaluate the performance of two mesoscale atmospheric forecast models, one with explicit treatment of convection and the other with a convective parameterization scheme. Designed to account for the transient and intermittent character of precipitation, these new verification techniques show that explicit formulation of convection yields spatio-temporal covariance structures that agree closely with observations. The explicit scheme shows however, a systematic tendency to propagate summertime precipitating storm systems to the right of observations, suggesting that the model's convection is too dependent on the source of low-level moisture.
机译:本文通过一系列三篇论文,开发了几种独特的不同的降水统计和验证方法,适用于与全球气候模式,区域模式和水文径流模型有关的尺度。论文的第一部分的动机是气候模型无法解释网格箱内降水的变化,而其他水文关键的降水特征(例如强度和频率)在文献中常常被忽略。研究了与这两个度量的空间平均有关的几个问题。此处使用雨量计报告和雷达降水分析来解决与降水强度和频率的面积估算有关的三个问题。事实证明,空间和时间平均方法的顺序之间的差异是很大的;因此,量化这些差异对于气候模型诊断和缩小规模的应用都是至关重要的。第二部分记录了美国大陆每小时精细降水分析的时空统计。在各向同性假设下对降水场的时空一致性进行了定量分析,揭示了明显的季节和地理变化。然后考虑各向异性因素以获得对降水暴风系统的平均运动和方向的估计。论文提供了量化观测和模拟降水时空变化的新方法,为如何纠正错误的模型模拟提供了新的见识。该方法用于评估两个中尺度大气预报模型的性能,一个模型具有对流的显式处理,另一个模型具有对流参数化方案。这些新的验证技术旨在考虑降水的瞬态和间歇性特征,表明对流的显式公式会产生时空协方差结构,该结构与观测值非常吻合。但是,该显式方案显示了一种系统趋势,即在观测值的右侧传播夏季降水的风暴系统,这表明该模型的对流过于依赖于低水平水分的来源。

著录项

  • 作者

    Kursinski, Ana Liliana.;

  • 作者单位

    The University of Arizona.;

  • 授予单位 The University of Arizona.;
  • 学科 Atmospheric Sciences.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2007
  • 页码 144 p.
  • 总页数 144
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号