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Investment planning applied to power systems using real options analysis.

机译:使用实物期权分析将投资计划应用于电力系统。

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The electric industry has changed from a vertically integrated industry to a market based competitive industry. The incentives of market participants have changed and there is additional uncertainty since the industry is no longer vertically integrated. Traditional methods used in investment planning are no longer adequate; thus, improved methods are needed to provide a better valuation of investments. This research concentrates on transmission planning and real options analysis. The transmission planning research applies real options analysis and compares it to other approaches. Real options analysis is preferred as it can model the managerial flexibility that takes place in investment planning. In the process of researching real options analysis, wind energy planning was also studied and this topic is presented as well. The wind energy planning research applies real options analysis to the problem of wind energy being uncontrollable and examines other methods that are recommended to remedy this problem.
机译:电气行业已经从垂直整合行业转变为基于市场的竞争性行业。由于该行业不再垂直整合,市场参与者的动机已经改变,并且存在更多不确定性。投资计划中使用的传统方法已不再足够;因此,需要改进的方法来提供更好的投资价值。这项研究集中于输电计划和实物期权分析。传输规划研究应用了实物期权分析,并将其与其他方法进行了比较。优先选择实物期权分析,因为它可以模拟投资计划中发生的管理灵活性。在研究实物期权分析的过程中,还对风能规划进行了研究,并提出了该主题。风能规划研究将实物期权分析应用于无法控制的风能问题,并研究了建议的其他方法来解决该问题。

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