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An analysis of public preference for transportation investments and funding options: A focus on local option sales taxes.

机译：分析公众对运输投资和资金选择的偏好：重点关注地方选择销售税。

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摘要

In response to the increasing devolution of transportation planning and fiscal responsibilities to local governments, voter-approved ballot initiatives are becoming an important source of much-needed revenue for transit and road transportation projects. There is a need for policy makers to identify the influential factors of voter approval of such initiatives and to predict the probability of success of an intended initiative. To address this research need, the present study utilized econometric and statistical tools using disaggregate data gleaned from voter revealed and stated preference surveys in California. The study determined that public preferences for transportation investments and funding alternatives, with respect to local option sales taxes, are influenced by factors such as voter socio-economic characteristics, perceptions of local government planning and funding capabilities, preferences for specific transportation investment types, and perceptions of existing traffic and road conditions. The marginal effects of public perceptions of traffic congestion were found to be lower than the corresponding values for other factors, particularly accountability for tax revenue expenditure and likely voters' political affiliation, race, and their awareness of the availability and adequacy of public funds. Possible future applications of the developed models may include a rough estimation of the success probability of intended initiatives. The study results underscore the importance of linking the intended funding source to the type of transportation investments in any public funding policy requiring voter approval.
机译：为了将交通运输计划和财政责任下放到地方政府越来越多，选民批准的投票倡议正成为交通和公路运输项目急需的重要收入来源。政策制定者需要确定选民批准此类举措的影响因素，并预测预期举措成功的可能性。为了满足这项研究的需要，本研究利用计量经济学和统计工具，使用了从选民那里收集的分类数据，这些数据来自加利福尼亚州揭示和陈述的偏好调查。该研究确定，就地方选择权销售税而言，公众对运输投资和融资选择的偏好受到选民社会经济特征，对地方政府计划和融资能力的看法，对特定运输投资类型的偏好以及对现有交通和道路状况的看法。发现公众对交通拥堵的看法的边际效应低于其他因素的相应价值，特别是对税收支出的问责制以及选民可能的政治归属，种族以及他们对公共资金的可用性和充足性的认识。所开发模型的未来可能的应用可能包括对预期计划成功概率的粗略估计。该研究结果强调了在需要选民批准的任何公共资助政策中，将预期的资金来源与运输投资类型联系起来的重要性。

著录项

  • 作者

    Hamideh, Ashad Rafi.;

  • 作者单位

    Purdue University.;

  • 授予单位 Purdue University.;
  • 学科 Engineering Civil.;Transportation.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2006
  • 页码 279 p.
  • 总页数 279
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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