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Three essays on information transmission games and beliefs in perfect information games.

机译:关于信息传播游戏和对完美信息游戏的信念的三篇文章。

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摘要

This dissertation consists of three chapters. The first two chapters study strategic information transmission. The third chapter studies beliefs in perfect information games.;The first chapter examines strategic information transmission with interacting decision-makers. I analyze a cheap-talk game between an informed agent and two uninformed decision-makers who coordinate their actions. I compare public communication with private communication. I find that the agent responds to the decision-makers' coordination by providing less precise information. Conditions that support a full information revelation equilibrium in private communication also support the same type of equilibrium in public communication; but the reverse is not true.;The second chapter investigates the role of persuasion mechanisms in collective decision-making. A persuasion mechanism consists of a family of conditional distributions over the underlying state space. A biased, perfectly informed sender adopts a persuasion mechanism to provide a group of uninformed receivers with signals about the unknown state of the world. I compare public persuasion with private persuasion. I find that the sender can always reach the convex upper bound of the set of expected payoffs under public persuasion, regardless of the number of signals or the signals' correlation structure. The sender is worse off under private persuasion. Moreover, I show that private persuasion is always more informative than its public counterpart. As a result, the receivers make better decisions under private persuasion.;The third chapter experimentally explores people's beliefs behind the failure of backward induction in the centipede games. I elicit players' beliefs about opponents' strategies and 1st-order beliefs. I find that subjects maximize their monetary payoffs according to their stated beliefs less frequently in the Baseline Centipede treatment where an efficient non-equilibrium outcome exists; they do so more frequently in the Constant Sum treatment where the efficiency property is removed. Moreover, subjects believe their opponents' maximizing behavior and expect their opponents to hold the same belief less frequently in the Baseline Centipede treatment and more frequently in the Constant Sum treatment.
机译:本文共分三章。前两章研究战略信息传输。第三章研究关于完美信息游戏的信念。第一章研究与决策者互动的战略信息传递。我分析了一个知情的经纪人和两个不知情的决策者之间的廉价对话游戏,他们协调行动。我将公共传播与私人传播进行比较。我发现代理人通过提供不太精确的信息来响应决策者的协调。在私人传播中支持完全信息披露平衡的条件也支持在公共传播中具有相同类型的平衡;第二章探讨了说服机制在集体决策中的作用。说服机制由基础状态空间上的一系列条件分布组成。一个有偏见的,消息灵通的发送者采用说服机制,向一群不知情的接收者提供有关世界未知状态的信号。我将公共说服与私人说服进行比较。我发现,无论信号数量或信号的相关结构如何,在公众的劝说下,发送者始终可以达到预期收益集的凸上限。在私人劝说下,发件人的处境更糟。而且,我表明,私人说服总是比公共说服更具信息性。结果,接收者在私人的劝说下做出了更好的决策。第三章实验性地探索了人们在the游戏中向后归纳失败的信念。我引起了玩家对对手策略和一阶信念的信念。我发现,在存在有效的非平衡结果的基线C治疗中,受试者较不频繁地根据其陈述的信念最大化其金钱收益。在“固定总和”处理中,它们会更频繁地执行该操作,而效率属性将被删除。此外,受试者相信他们的对手的最大行为,并希望他们的对手在基准C治疗中更不频繁地持有相同的信念,而在恒和治疗中则更频繁地持有相同的信念。

著录项

  • 作者

    Wang, Yun.;

  • 作者单位

    University of Pittsburgh.;

  • 授予单位 University of Pittsburgh.;
  • 学科 Economics Theory.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2013
  • 页码 141 p.
  • 总页数 141
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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