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Government Change and Democratic Breakdown in Parliamentary and Presidential Democracies: A Study of 75 Countries from 1951 to 2006.

机译：政府更迭与议会民主制和总统制民主制：1951年至2006年对75个国家的研究。

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摘要

The thesis attempts to explore the relationship between government change and democratic breakdown, based on a cross-national empirical study of 75 countries from 1951 to 2006 across all continents. A series of event-history analyses demonstrate that the average life expectancy of a ruling party in the ten years and the likelihood of democratic breakdown are in a U-shape relationship, regardless of a regime's institutional systems, socioeconomic conditions, international relationship or environment, as well as its historical and cultural background. Both frequent ruling party changes and lack of ruling party change are detrimental to democratic survival. Statistical evidence indicates that too frequent changes in the ruling party dampens economic development and governance capacity, and increases the likelihood of democratic breakdown. On the other hand, it is found that lack of ruling party change may lead to non-constitutional anti-government activities and abuse of power by the incumbent, which increases the likelihood of democratic breakdown.
机译：本文基于对1951年至2006年间遍布各大洲的75个国家的跨国经验研究，试图探索政府更迭与民主崩溃之间的关系。一系列事件历史分析表明，执政党在十年内的平均预期寿命与民主崩溃的可能性呈U型关系，而与政权的体制制度，社会经济条件，国际关系或环境无关，以及其历史和文化背景。执政党频繁更换和缺乏执政党更换都不利于民主生存。统计证据表明，执政党过于频繁的变动会削弱经济发展和治理能力，并增加民主崩溃的可能性。另一方面，人们发现，缺乏执政党更迭可能会导致违宪的反政府活动和任职者滥用权力，这增加了民主崩溃的可能性。

著录项

  • 作者

    Wong, Kevin Tze Wai.;

  • 作者单位

    Hong Kong University of Science and Technology (Hong Kong).;

  • 授予单位 Hong Kong University of Science and Technology (Hong Kong).;
  • 学科 Sociology General.;Political Science General.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2013
  • 页码 167 p.
  • 总页数 167
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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