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The effect of unemployment insurance on industry switching decisions and reemployment earnings of displaced workers.

机译：失业保险对产业转移决策和流离失所工人的再就业收入的影响。

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摘要

This thesis examines whether unemployment insurance (UI) benefits improve the quality of job matches for displaced workers who find new employment. Using individual-level data from the 2008 and 2010 Displaced Worker Supplements to the Current Population Survey, I estimate the effect of UI receipt, generosity, and exhaustion on two measures of job match quality: the change in the log of weekly earnings from the predisplacement to postdisplacement jobs and an indicator of whether the worker switched to a new industry. Previous studies have consistently shown that such industry switching is associated with larger earnings declines due to the loss of industry-specific human capital and wage premiums. The results show a significant, positive association between UI receipt and industry switching but no significant relationship between UI receipt and earnings when controls are added for jobless spells of less than two weeks. I also find a negative, robust, statistically significant, and economically large relationship between exhaustion of benefits and reemployment earnings. However, I find no significant association between UI exhaustion and industry switching. Also, although the UI replacement rate - which measures the estimated proportion of a worker's previous earnings replaced by UI benefits - is negatively and significantly associated with earnings for workers displaced in 2008-09, this result is not robust for workers displaced in 2005-07 or to the use of alternative measures of UI generosity. However, replacement rates and maximum benefit levels have a significant, positive association with earnings for workers who hit their state's UI benefit cap. These findings are consistent with previous literature providing mixed evidence on whether UI affects job match quality and suggest that future research should apply techniques simulating randomized selection so that treatment and control groups are likely to be similar on both measured and unobservable characteristics.
机译：本文研究了失业保险（UI）福利是否能提高找到新工作的流离失所工人的工作质量。我使用《 2008年和2010年当前人口调查的流离失所者补编》中的个人数据，估计UI接收，慷慨和疲惫对两项工作匹配质量的影响：从流离失所者获得的每周收入对数的变化安置后的工作，以及工人是否转行新行业的指标。先前的研究始终表明，由于特定行业的人力资本和工资溢价的损失，这种行业转移与更大的收入下降相关。结果显示，当为少于两周的失业期添加控件时，UI收据与行业转换之间存在显着的正相关关系，但UI收据与收入之间没有显着的关系。我还发现，福利用尽与再就业收入之间存在负相关，稳健，具有统计意义且在经济上具有较大关系。但是，我发现UI耗尽与行业转换之间没有显着关联。同样，尽管UI更换率（衡量用UI福利代替的工人以前收入的估计比例）与2008-09年流离失所工人的收入负相关且显着相关，但对于2005-07年流离失所的工人来说，这一结果并不可靠或使用其他UI宽容措施。但是，替代率和最高福利水平与达到州UI福利上限的工人的收入有着显着的正相关关系。这些发现与以前的文献一致，提供了关于UI是否会影响工作匹配质量的混合证据，并建议未来的研究应采用模拟随机选择的技术，以便治疗组和对照组在测量和观察不到的特征上相似。

著录项

  • 作者

    Karpman, Michael David.;

  • 作者单位

    Georgetown University.;

  • 授予单位 Georgetown University.;
  • 学科 Economics Labor.;Sociology Public and Social Welfare.
  • 学位 M.P.P.
  • 年度 2013
  • 页码 87 p.
  • 总页数 87
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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