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Output performance, institutions and structural policy reforms for transition economies.

机译:转型经济体的产出表现,体制和结构性政策改革。

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摘要

This dissertation explores the relationships between three groups of variables in the transition economies of Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) and Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS), from 1989 to 2003. The first group consists of output level and output growth as measured by gross domestic product index (GDPI) and gross domestic product growth (GDPG). The second group consists of two categories of institutional development (INST), and the third group of variables is structural policy reforms (SPR), often known as liberalization policies.; This dissertation's theoretical and empirical framework explicitly account for the endogeneity between output performance variables, the measures of institutional development and SPR. Several empirical specification models of the theoretical simultaneous system of three equations are estimated. In the first group of specification models the dependent endogenous variables are GDPG, SPR and INST, while in the second group the dependent endogenous variables are GDPI, SPR and INST. Moreover, two datasets are used. The first dataset has data from 1989 to 2003, thus covering the whole transition period, while the second dataset is a subset of the first one, containing data for the recovery stage of transition only.; The empirical methods used in this dissertation include panel data analysis, principal component analysis, two stages least squares approach and three stage least squares approach in the presence of a SUR modeling procedure.; With respect to the output performance equation, the findings of this research indicate that institutional reform (INSTREF), and property rights and contract enforcement institutions (PCINST and ROLINST) are very important determinants of output levels when the whole transition period dataset is used, and very important determinants of both the output levels and output growth rates when the recovery stage dataset is used. While the effect of current SPR is ambiguous, the effect of lagged SPR on output and output growth is positive. Moreover, SPR continue to affect output performance via their indirect effect on institutional development.; With respect to the institutional reforms, and property rights and contract enforcement institutions, two sets of determinants were found to be important. On the side of the demand factors, SPR, and especially lagged SPR is found to be an important determinant of both institutional reforms and property rights and contract enforcement institutions. On the side of supply factors, macroeconomic stabilization, a measure of the state's capacity to implement institutional reform, resulted very important in explaining the variation in institutional reform and property rights and contract enforcement institutions. Political reform, in terms of a shift from the autarkic political regime to a democratic political regime, is found to positively affect institutional development in the recovery stage.; With respect to the structural policy reforms' equations, this dissertation's main finding is that political reform positively affects SPR in both datasets. Moreover, lagged SPR is found to positively affect SPR, which is an indication of transition governments' maintained commitment to a package of SPR-s.
机译:本文探讨了中欧和东欧转型经济体(CEE)和独立国家联合体(CIS)从1989年至2003年的三组变量之间的关系。第一组变量包括产出水平和以总值衡量的产出增长国内生产总值指数(GDPI)和国内生产总值增长(GDPG)。第二组包括两类制度发展(INST),第三组变量是结构性政策改革(SPR),通常被称为自由化政策。本文的理论和经验框架明确地说明了产出绩效变量,制度发展指标和SPR之间的内生性。估计了三个方程的理论联立系统的几个经验指标模型。在第一组规范模型中,内生因变量是GDPG,SPR和INST,而在第二组中,内生因变量是GDPI,SPR和INST。此外,使用了两个数据集。第一个数据集包含1989年至2003年的数据,因此涵盖了整个过渡时期,而第二个数据集是第一个数据集的子集,仅包含过渡恢复阶段的数据。本文采用的经验方法包括面板数据分析,主成分分析,存在SUR建模程序的两阶段最小二乘法和三阶段最小二乘法。关于产出绩效方程,这项研究的结果表明,使用整个过渡期数据集时,制度改革(INSTREF),产权和合同执行机构(PCINST和ROLINST)是产出水平的重要决定因素,并且使用恢复阶段数据集时,产出水平和产出增长率的非常重要的决定因素。尽管当前的SPR的影响是模棱两可的,但滞后的SPR对产出和产出增长的影响却是积极的。此外,SPR继续通过其对机构发展的间接影响来影响产出绩效。关于体制改革,产权和合同执行机构,发现两组决定因素很重要。在需求因素方面,SPR,尤其是落后的SPR被认为是体制改革,产权和合同执行机构的重要决定因素。在供给因素方面,宏观经济稳定是衡量国家实施体制改革能力的一种手段,因此在解释体制改革和产权以及合同执行机构的差异方面非常重要。在从自给自足的政治体制向民主政治体制的转变方面,政治改革被发现对复苏阶段的制度发展产生了积极影响。关于结构性政策改革的方程,本论文的主要发现是政治改革对两个数据集的SPR都有积极影响。此外,发现滞后的SPR会对SPR产生积极影响,这表明过渡政府一直致力于一揽子SPR。

著录项

  • 作者单位

    Kansas State University.;

  • 授予单位 Kansas State University.;
  • 学科 Economics General.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2005
  • 页码 143 p.
  • 总页数 143
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 经济学;
  • 关键词

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