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Temporal aggregation and treatment of zero dependent variables in the estimation of food demand using cross-sectional data.

机译:使用横断面数据估算粮食需求时的时间汇总和零因变量处理。

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摘要

This study analyzes U.S. consumers' demand for eight food commodity groups: Cereal and Bakery goods, Meat and Eggs, Dairy, Fruits and Vegetables, Nonalcoholic Beverages, Fats and Oils, Sugar and Sweets, and Miscellaneous goods. The estimation of the demand system of equations is carried out using the EASI demand model of Lewbel and Pendakur (2009) and five years of data (2002--2006) from the Nielsen Homescan program. Two different levels of temporal aggregation, monthly and the average month within a year, referred to as "annual" were considered. Using the monthly data, I evaluated the performance of two econometric methods to account for zero expenditures in food demand analysis (Shonkwiler and Yen, 1999 and Blundell and Meghir 1987).;I conclude that the models using monthly data closely approximate the underlying annual expenditure elasticities, but do a poor job of estimating own- and -cross price elasticities and marginal effects. This finding is true for both the uncensored model of Blundell and Meghir (1987), and the two-step censored model of Shonkwiler and Yen (1999). I also find that the more complex two-step censored model does not improve precision of the estimates over the simpler model. This conclusion has implications for consumer demand researchers attempting to account for censored dependent variables.;The new own- and cross price elasticities presented differ from previous estimates in the literature, but not to the extent that the broad conclusions drawn from previous studies are nullified. Marginal effects of demographic characteristics appear to confirm societal beliefs about consumption patterns of different population sub-segments.
机译:这项研究分析了美国消费者对八种食品商品的需求:谷物和面包类商品,肉和蛋,乳制品,水果和蔬菜,非酒精饮料,油脂,糖和糖果以及其他商品。使用Lewbel和Pendakur(2009)的EASI需求模型以及Nielsen Homescan计划的五年数据(2002--2006)对方程的需求系统进行估算。考虑了两个不同级别的时间聚合,每月和一年中的平均月份,称为“每年”。使用月度数据,我评估了两种计量经济学方法在粮食需求分析中零支出的效果(Shonkwiler和Yen,1999年; Blundell和Meghir 1987年)。我得出结论,使用月度数据的模型非常接近潜在的年支出。弹性,但在估算自身和交叉价格弹性和边际效应方面做得很差。这一发现对于Blundell和Meghir(1987)的未经审查模型以及Shonkwiler和Yen(1999)的两步审查模型都是正确的。我还发现,较简单的模型,更复杂的两步删失模型不能提高估计的准确性。该结论对试图解释被审查的因变量的消费者需求研究人员具有影响。提出的新的自有价格和交叉价格弹性与文献中先前的估计有所不同,但不会使先前研究得出的广泛结论无效。人口统计学特征的边际效应似乎证实了社会对不同人口子群体消费模式的信念。

著录项

  • 作者

    Leffler, Kristyn Kameko.;

  • 作者单位

    Clemson University.;

  • 授予单位 Clemson University.;
  • 学科 Statistics.;Economics Agricultural.;Economics General.
  • 学位 M.S.
  • 年度 2012
  • 页码 152 p.
  • 总页数 152
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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