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Analyzing strategic interaction in multi-settlement electricity markets: A closed-loop supply function equilibrium model.

机译:分析多结算电力市场中的战略互动:闭环供应函数均衡模型。

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摘要

Multi-settlement electricity markets typically permit firms to bid increasing supply functions (SFs) in each market, rather than only a fixed price or quantity. Klemperer and Meyer's (1989) single-market supply function equilibrium (SFE) model extends to a computable SFE model of a multi-settlement market, that is, a single forward market and a spot market. Spot and forward market supply and demand functions arise endogenously under a closed-loop information structure with rational expectations. The closed-loop assumption implies that in choosing their spot market SFs, firms observe and respond optimally to the forward market outcome. Moreover, firms take the corresponding expected spot market equilibrium into account in constructing their forward market SFs. Subgame-perfect Nash equilibria of the model are characterized analytically via backward induction. Assuming affine functional forms for the spot market and an equilibrium selection mechanism in the forward market provides for numerical solutions that, using simple empirical benchmarks, select a single subgame-perfect Nash equilibrium.; Incentives for a supplier in the forward market decompose into three distinct effects: a direct effect attributable solely to the forward market, a settlement effect due to forward contract settlement at the expected spot market price, and a strategic effect arising due to the effect of a firm's forward market activity on the anticipated response of the firm's rival. Comparative statics analysis examines the effect of small parameter shocks on the forward market SFs. Shocks that increase the elasticities of equilibrium supply and demand functions tend to make firms more aggressive in the forward market, in that they bid higher quantities at most prices. Expected aggregate welfare for the multi-settlement SFE model is intermediate between that of the single-market SFE model and that of the perfectly competitive case.
机译:多结算电力市场通常允许公司竞标每个市场中不断增加的供应函数(SF),而不仅仅是固定价格或数量。 Klemperer和Meyer(1989)的单一市场供给函数均衡(SFE)模型扩展到了多结算市场(即单一远期市场和现货市场)的可计算SFE模型。在具有合理预期的闭环信息结构下,现货市场和远期市场的供需函数是内生的。闭环假设意味着,在选择其现货市场SF时,公司会观察并对远期市场结果做出最佳反应。此外,企业在构建远期市场金融工具时会考虑相应的预期现货市场均衡。该模型的子博弈完美Nash均衡通过反向归纳来进行分析表征。假设现货市场的仿射函数形式和远期市场的均衡选择机制提供了数值解决方案,这些解决方案使用简单的经验基准选择单个子博弈完美的纳什均衡。远期市场中供应商的激励分为三个明显的影响:直接归因于远期市场的直接影响,由于按预期现货市场价格进行远期合同结算而产生的结算影响,以及由于远期合约影响而产生的战略影响。公司根据其竞争对手的预期反应进行的远期市场活动。比较静力学分析检查了小参数冲击对远期市场SF的影响。冲击增加了均衡供需函数的弹性,往往使企业在远期市场上更具侵略性,因为它们在大多数价格下都竞标更高的数量。多市场SFE模型的预期总福利介于单市场SFE模型的信用与完全竞争案例的福利之间。

著录项

  • 作者

    Anderson, Steven Craig.;

  • 作者单位

    Harvard University.;

  • 授予单位 Harvard University.;
  • 学科 Economics Commerce-Business.; Economics Theory.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2004
  • 页码 462 p.
  • 总页数 462
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 贸易经济;经济学;
  • 关键词

  • 入库时间 2022-08-17 11:43:36

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