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Investigating and Modeling Traffic Collision Frequency and Possibility for Edmonton.

机译:埃德蒙顿交通碰撞频率和可能性的调查和建模。

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摘要

This study was conducted to investigate and model the high traffic collision frequencies in the City of Edmonton, Canada. Consistent collision spikes were observed on Fridays compared to the other days of the week. The first Negative Binomial model was formulated to establish a relation between the collision frequency and the independent variables. The second Multinomial logistic regression model was formulated to examine the probability of age categories and gender involved in collision for each day of week considering collision has happened.;The proposed collision prediction models were found good. They could provide a realistic estimate of expected collision frequency and properties of collision for a particular day as a function of number of hours of daylight, number of hours of snowfall, visibility, age and gender. It is hoped that predicted collision frequency will help the decision maker to quantify traffic safety of Edmonton and improve the scenario.
机译:这项研究的目的是调查和模拟加拿大埃德蒙顿市的高交通撞车频率。与每周其他几天相比,在星期五观察到一致的碰撞高峰。建立了第一个负二项式模型以建立碰撞频率和自变量之间的关系。建立了第二个多项式逻辑回归模型,以检查在发生碰撞的情况下每周每一天发生碰撞的年龄类别和性别的概率。它们可以根据白天的小时数,降雪的小时数,能见度,年龄和性别,提供特定天的预期碰撞频率和碰撞特性的真实估计。希望预测的碰撞频率将有助于决策者量化埃德蒙顿的交通安全并改善情景。

著录项

  • 作者

    Shaheed, Gurjeet Singh.;

  • 作者单位

    University of Alberta (Canada).;

  • 授予单位 University of Alberta (Canada).;
  • 学科 Engineering Civil.
  • 学位 M.Sc.
  • 年度 2011
  • 页码 127 p.
  • 总页数 127
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 老年病学;
  • 关键词

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