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Dynamic market games with time delays and their application to international fishing.

机译:具有时间延迟的动态市场博弈及其在国际捕鱼中的应用。

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摘要

International fishing as a special dynamic game will be analyzed, which is a combination of classical population dynamics and oligopoly theory.; The interaction of the countries or firms is through market rules assuming that all markets are open to all participants. In addition, all fishing parties base their activity on the existing common fish stock. The available fish stock and the beliefs of the participants on the fish stock are the state variables. Depending on the possible symmetry of the fishing parties and on their behavior several alternative models will be formed.; The classical competitive model will be first formulated and examined, and two special cases will be introduced. First, when the countries, or firms, are identical, second, when one country, or firm, is significantly different than the others. Next, we will assume that a grand coalition is formed, and the total profit of the industry is maximized. Finally, the partially cooperative case will be examined, in which each participant's objective function contains a certain proportion of the profits of the others in addition to its own profits.; In all cases, a detailed mathematical model will be constructed, the equilibrium will be computed and the modified population dynamics rule will be formulated. For each case, I will determine the number of positive equilibria, the stability of which will be analyzed first based on the assumption that each participant has instantaneous information on the fish stock. However, there is always a time lag due to information collection and implementation. Since the delay is uncertain, continuously distributed time lags will be assumed. Under this assumption, the dynamic system will be described by Volterra-type integro-differential equations. The asymptotical behavior of the state trajectory will be analyzed by using linearization. Conditions for the local asymptotical stability will be first derived, and in the case of instability, special bifurcations, especially the birth of limit cycles, will be studied. In illustrating the theoretical, analytic results, simple computer studies will be presented.
机译:将分析国际捕鱼作为一种特殊的动态博弈,它是经典的人口动态和寡头垄断理论的结合。国家或公司的互动是通过市场规则进行的,假设所有市场对所有参与者开放。此外,所有捕鱼方的活动均以现有的普通鱼类种群为基础。可利用的鱼类资源和参与者对鱼类资源的信念是状态变量。根据捕捞方可能的对称性和行为,将形成几种替代模型。首先将建立和研究经典竞争模型,然后介绍两个特殊情况。首先,当一个国家或公司相同时,其次,当一个国家或公司与其他国家或公司有显着差异时。接下来,我们将假设一个大联盟形成,并且该行业的总利润最大化。最后,将研究部分合作的案例,其中每个参与者的目标函数除自身收益外,还包含其他参与者一定比例的收益。在所有情况下,都将构建详细的数学模型,计算平衡,并制定修改后的种群动态规则。对于每种情况,我将确定正平衡的数量,首先将基于每个参与者都具有鱼类种群即时信息的假设来分析其稳定性。但是,由于信息的收集和实施总是存在时滞。由于延迟是不确定的,因此将假定连续分布的时滞。在此假设下,动力学系统将由Volterra型积分微分方程描述。将使用线性化分析状态轨迹的渐近行为。首先将得出局部渐近稳定的条件,在不稳定的情况下,将研究特殊的分叉,特别是极限环的产生。为了说明理论上的分析结果,将介绍简单的计算机研究。

著录项

  • 作者

    Engel, Andrew August.;

  • 作者单位

    The University of Arizona.;

  • 授予单位 The University of Arizona.;
  • 学科 Mathematics.; Economics Theory.; Operations Research.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2002
  • 页码 101 p.
  • 总页数 101
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 数学;经济学;运筹学;
  • 关键词

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