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Inter-provincial income inequality in China.

机译:中国的省际收入不平等。

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Contrary to Kuznets' inverted “U” hypothesis and anecdotal evidence, China's rapid growth after 1978 was not associated with an increase in inter-provincial income inequality before 1990. Neither aggregate measures of inequality nor statistical tests of convergence indicate increasing inter-provincial inequality. Analysis of the income rankings of individual provinces and their positions on Lorenz curves as well as a regression analysis model of conditional convergence all indicate that changes in interprovincial inequality in China, or the lack thereof, are explained by the rapid growth of a group of lower-middle income coastal provinces closing the income gap between themselves and the high income heavy industrial provinces of Dongbei and the provincial level cities. The relative position of poor provinces did not improve.; Studies of international income inequality typically use purchasing power parity as the yardstick of comparison. This study develops a local cost of living index (LCLI) analogous to a purchasing power parity exchange rate for 17 of China's 30 provinces for the years 1978–1993. Changes in local cost of living differences during that time period are examined. The relationship between LCLIs and provincial GDP per capita is tested. LCLIs based on two different indicators of provincial inflation, retail price indices (RPI), and implicit GDP deflators are compared. In 1978 there was no relation between local cost of living and provincial per capita GDP. Cost of living adjustment was as likely to increase inequality as decrease it. By 1993 there was a statistically significant positive correlation between local cost of living and provincial per capita GDP. The absolute effect, however, was still small. A province with Per Capita GDP 50% above the national average would be expected to have a 5% higher cost of living.; The overall conclusion of the study is that in the early phase of the market reform process initial conditions are more important than the tendencies of the market process. In the early reform period distortions in the spatial and sectoral pattern of China's economy and price system must be unwound before the tendencies of market forces can put their own stamp on the economy.
机译:与库兹涅茨的倒置的“ U”假说和轶事证据相反,中国在1978年之后的快速增长与1990年前省际收入不平等的增加没有关系。总的不平等度量或统计检验都没有表明省际不平等的加剧。对各省收入排名及其在Lorenz曲线上的位置进行的分析以及条件收敛的回归分析模型均表明,中国省际不平等的变化或缺乏这种变化的原因是一群低收入群体的快速增长。 -中等收入沿海省份,缩小了与东北高收入重工业省和省级城市之间的收入差距。贫困省份的相对地位没有改善。对国际收入不平等的研究通常使用购买力平价作为比较的标准。这项研究建立了类似于1978-1993年中国30个省中的17个省的购买力平价汇率的当地生活成本指数(LCLI)。研究了这段时期内当地生活费用差异的变化。测试了LCLI与省人均GDP之间的关系。比较了基于省通胀的两个不同指标的LCLI,零售价格指数(RPI)和隐含的GDP贬值指数。 1978年,当地的生活费用与省人均GDP之间没有关系。生活费用调整可能会增加不平等,也会减少不平等。到1993年,地方生活费用与各省人均GDP之间在统计上具有显着正相关。但是,绝对效果仍然很小。人均国内生产总值比全国平均水平高50%的省,其生活成本有望提高5%。该研究的总体结论是,在市场改革过程的初期,初始条件比市场过程的趋势更为重要。在改革初期,必须消除中国经济和价格体系在空间和部门格局上的扭曲,然后市场力量才能对经济施加影响。

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