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Three essays in econometrics: Idempotent matrix, adaptive regression, and unit root test.

机译:计量经济学的三篇论文:幂等矩阵,自适应回归和单位根检验。

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摘要

This dissertation consists of three distinctly different essays on econometric subjects. Essay I deals with an idempotent matrix which is often referred to as the 'residual maker.' The applicability of the idempotent matrix is much broader than we are aware of in econometrics. In this essay, two fundamental properties of the idempotent matrix are formally established: order-invariability (well known but not formally established) and decomposability (hitherto unknown). Then, the idempotent matrix is applied to derive an analytic expression for each element in the OLS estimator vector, which is otherwise possible but very cumbersome. Using the idempotent matrix, we also easily verify the Frisch-Waugh-Lovell Theorem. More importantly, the matrix is used to derive a new result, i.e., the exact analytical expression for a correlation coefficient between any pair of elements in the OLS estimator vector.;Essay II investigates the distribution of the statistic for testing parameter instability in the adaptive regression model. In a number of empirical studies, the test statistic has been assumed to be asymptotically normally distributed. However, we show experimentally that the asymptotic distribution of the test statistic is indeed nonnormal. Based on the Monte Carlo results for various sample sizes, a statistical table has been produced which practitioners of the adaptive regression model may find useful for significance tests of the instability parameter estimate.;Essay III addresses the problem of the unit root test associated with measurement errors contained in the observed unit root process. Though virtually all observed economic variables are likely to be subject to measurement errors to an extent, the possibility of serious ramifications on unit root test have been almost completely ignored in practice. Augmented Dickey-Fuller tests were carried out for various sample sizes, with data generated by a random walk process contaminated by stationary random measurement errors. As conjectured, for small sample sizes the test statistic substantially deviates from its nominal distributions tabulated by Dickey and Fuller, with the deviation depending on the degree of the measurement errors. The deviations, however, taper off as the sample size increases.
机译:本文由三篇关于计量经济学主题的论文组成。论文一涉及一个幂等矩阵,它通常被称为“残差制造者”。幂等矩阵的适用性比我们在计量经济学中意识到的要广泛得多。在本文中,正式建立了幂等矩阵的两个基本属性:顺序不变性(众所周知但未正式确立)和可分解性(迄今未知)。然后,使用幂等矩阵为OLS估计向量中的每个元素导出一个解析表达式,否则这是可能的,但是非常麻烦。使用幂等矩阵,我们还可以轻松地验证Frisch-Waugh-Lovell定理。更重要的是,该矩阵用于得出新结果,即OLS估计量向量中任意一对元素之间相关系数的精确解析表达式。论文二研究了统计量的分布,用于测试自适应算法中的参数不稳定性回归模型。在许多经验研究中,已假定检验统计量是渐近正态分布的。但是,我们通过实验表明,检验统计量的渐近分布确实是非正态的。根据各种样本量的蒙特卡洛结果,已生成统计表,适应性回归模型的从业者可能会发现对不稳定参数估​​计值的显着性检验有用。论文三解决了与测量相关的单位根检验问题观察到的单位根进程中包含的错误。尽管实际上观察到的所有经济变量都可能在一定程度上受到测量误差的影响,但实际上在实践中几乎完全忽略了对单位根检验产生严重后果的可能性。对各种样本量进行了增强的Dickey-Fuller测试,随机游走过程生成的数据被固定的随机测量误差所污染。据推测,对于小样本量,测试统计量明显偏离Dickey和Fuller列出的名义分布,其偏差取决于测量误差的程度。但是,随着样本量的增加,偏差逐渐减小。

著录项

  • 作者

    Han, Kyung-Taik.;

  • 作者单位

    University of Hawai'i at Manoa.;

  • 授予单位 University of Hawai'i at Manoa.;
  • 学科 Economics General.;Economics Theory.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 1997
  • 页码 135 p.
  • 总页数 135
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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