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A modeling framework for airlines competition analysis: Application to the U.S. domestic network.

机译:航空公司竞争分析的建模框架:应用于美国国内网络。

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摘要

Following the Airlines Deregulation Act of 1978, air carriers have been allowed to select their network configuration, flight schedule, fares, service quality etc. Air carriers are operating with the main goal to maximize their profit resulting in a highly competitive business environment. Thus, there are increasing calls for developing analytical tools that capture the competition among airlines at the system level. This research work introduces a modeling framework for modeling airlines competition at the network level. The model replicates airlines' decisions on developing their network and corresponding flight schedule configuration, and estimates the overall profitability associated with this configuration. A game-theoretic modeling framework is developed. The framework adopts the concept of network equilibrium as the basis for capturing the competition among the air carriers. Each air carrier is assumed to modify its network structure and flight schedule with the goal to maximize its profit until a state of equilibrium is achieved. At equilibrium, it is assumed that no air carrier can improve its profit by unilaterally changing its network structure and/or flight schedule (i.e. entering or exiting from a market or changing number of flights in a market). The problem is formulated as a non-linear mathematical program. Two decomposition-based solution algorithms are developed for this problem. The first algorithm solves a special version of the problem where the constraints on the infrastructure capacity are relaxed. The second algorithm is designed to solve the general problem in which the infrastructure capacity constraints are considered.;A set of experiments are designed to illustrate the different capabilities of the developed modeling framework in capturing the competition pattern under different operation scenarios. These scenarios include air travel demand variation, air carriers' fleet expansion and downsizing, the relaxation of market and airport access restrictions, change in operation cost, infrastructure capacity limitations, congestion pricing, and merging between two air carriers. Two test-bed networks are used to run these experiments. The first network is a hypothetical small network that is used to present the results of the model at a high level of details (i.e. market-based schedule for the competing air carriers). The second network is a representation of the U.S. domestic network. This network is also used to validate the developed model by comparing the model results with the air carriers' published schedule.;The results of these experiments generally show that air carriers with lower cost structures and more resources dominate the competition in most markets. In addition, three main case studies are considered for the U.S. domestic network. The first case study aims at investigating the effect of applying congestion pricing strategies at congested airports. The results prove the importance of considering the network-wide effect of any local pricing strategies. The second case study examines the effect of repealing the Wright Amendment Act in Dallas Love field airport. The results show that canceling this act could significantly affect legacy air carriers with major operation in the DFW region. Finally, a case study that replicates the merging between Delta Airlines and Northwest Airlines is considered. The model shows that a significant increase in the profit can be achieved. It also identifies other air carriers that could be impacted by this merger.
机译:根据1978年的《航空管制放松法案》,允许航空公司选择其网络配置,航班时刻表,票价,服务质量等。航空公司的主要目标是最大程度地提高利润,从而创造高度竞争的商业环境。因此,越来越需要开发分析工具来捕获航空公司在系统级别上的竞争。这项研究工作介绍了用于在网络级别对航空公司竞争进行建模的建模框架。该模型复制了航空公司在开发其网络和相应的航班时刻表配置方面的决策,并估计了与此配置相关的总体获利能力。开发了一种博弈论建模框架。该框架采用网络平衡的概念作为捕捉航空承运人之间竞争的基础。假定每家航空公司都会修改其网络结构和航班时刻表,以实现其最大利益直至达到平衡状态。处于平衡状态时,假定没有航空公司能够通过单方面更改其网络结构和/或航班时刻表(即进入或退出市场或更改市场中的航班数量)来提高其利润。该问题被表述为非线性数学程序。针对此问题,开发了两种基于分解的求解算法。第一种算法解决了该问题的一个特殊版本,其中基础结构容量的约束得到了放松。第二种算法旨在解决考虑基础设施容量约束的一般问题。设计一组实验,以说明开发的建模框架在不同操作场景下捕获竞争模式时的不同功能。这些情况包括航空旅行需求变化,航空承运人机队的扩大和缩小,市场和机场准入限制的放宽,运营成本的变化,基础设施容量的限制,拥挤定价以及两家航空承运人之间的合并。两个试验台网络用于运行这些实验。第一个网络是一个假设的小型网络,用于以较高的详细程度(即,竞争性航空承运人的基于市场的时间表)展示模型的结果。第二个网络代表美国国内网络。通过将模型结果与航空承运人公布的时间表进行比较,该网络还可以用来验证所开发的模型。这些实验的结果通常表明,成本结构较低且资源更多的航空承运人在大多数市场上都占据着主导地位。此外,针对美国家庭网络考虑了三个主要案例研究。第一个案例研究旨在调查在拥挤的机场应用拥挤定价策略的效果。结果证明了考虑任何本地定价策略对整个网络的影响的重要性。第二个案例研究了在达拉斯洛夫菲尔德机场废除《莱特修正案》的效果。结果表明,取消这一行为可能会严重影响在DFW地区主要运营的传统航空母舰。最后,考虑了一个案例研究,该案例复制了达美航空和西北航空之间的合并。该模型表明可以实现利润的显着增加。它还确定了可能受到此次合并影响的其他航空公司。

著录项

  • 作者

    Hassan, Ahmed Elsayed.;

  • 作者单位

    Southern Methodist University.;

  • 授予单位 Southern Methodist University.;
  • 学科 Engineering Civil.;Transportation.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2009
  • 页码 203 p.
  • 总页数 203
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 建筑科学;综合运输;
  • 关键词

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