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Portfolio Choice with General Pricing Kernel.

机译:具有一般定价内核的投资组合选择。

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摘要

The portfolio choice optimization problem we study in this thesis is to construct a continuoustime portfolio which maximizes the probability of outperformance. In the literature of mathematical finance, this type of problem is typically solved by the quantile approach, which requires a non-atom pricing kernel.;In real financial practice, the pricing kernel can be atomic, i.e., the probability that the pricing kernel equals to a constant can be positive. For example, an extreme case is that the pricing kernel equals to a constant with probability 1 (see Example 1 in Section 2.4). Another example is the scenario analysis in risk management. Risk analysis is done by setting the asset price to be certain extreme values. In this case, the pricing kernel is atomic at those extreme values.;In this thesis, we consider two portfolio choice optimization models, goal reaching model and Yaari's dual model, with more general pricing kernels which may allow the existence of atoms.;For goal reaching model, we discuss the properties of the solution, and derive a modified optimization problem, which has a similar mathematical format to the optimal hypothesis test problems. Therefore, a general solution scheme for both non-atomic and atomic pricing kernel is derived based on a generalized Neyman-Pearson Lemma, which is famous in classical statistical theory. We also provide an example with pricing kernel follows geometric Brownian motion, to show the explicit solution based on our results. Our numerical experiments validate the optimal solution as well.;For Yaari's dual model, we discuss the properties of optimal solution that is an optimal terminal cash flow which is nonincreasing with respect to the pricing kernel. The pricing kernel here could contain atoms and thus is more general than non-atomic ones. Under the assumption that probability distortion/weighting is differentiable, we derive a modified optimization problem that contains left-continuous quantile function of the pricing kernel and terminal case flow. A sub-optimization problem with Lagrange multiplier is studied. We propose an algorithm, called Search-and-Cut Algorithm to find the optimal solution, which is good for cases where the weighting/pricing-kernel ratio consists of a finite number of monotone pieces. We prove the existence and uniqueness of the optimal solution as well. Finally, we derive an optimal solution of Yaari's dual model for more general pricing kernels and probability distortions.;The approaches we propose in this thesis could be used for other portfolio choice models, as well as for problems solved by non-atomic quantile approaches.
机译:本文研究的证券投资组合选择优化问题是建立一个连续时间的证券投资组合,该投资组合可以最大程度地提高业绩。在数学金融文献中,此类问题通常通过分位数方法解决,这需要非原子定价内核。;在实际的金融实践中,定价内核可以是原子的,即定价内核等于恒定可以为正。例如,一种极端情况是定价内核等于概率为1的常数(请参见第2.4节中的示例1)。另一个示例是风险管理中的方案分析。通过将资产价格设置为某些极端值来进行风险分析。在这种情况下,定价内核在那些极值处是原子的。本文考虑了两个投资组合选择优化模型,即目标达成模型和Yaari的对偶模型,其中更通用的定价内核可能允许原子的存在。目标达成模型,我们讨论了解决方案的性质,并得出了修正的优化问题,该优化问题的数学格式与最优假设检验问题相似。因此,基于经典统计理论中著名的广义Neyman-Pearson Lemma,推导了非原子和原子定价核的通用解决方案。我们还提供了一个示例,其中定价核遵循几何布朗运动,以基于我们的结果显示明确的解决方案。我们的数值实验也验证了最优解。对于Yaari的对偶模型,我们讨论了最优解的性质,即最优终端现金流量相对于定价内核而言并不增加。此处的定价内核可能包含原子,因此比非原子的原子更通用。在概率失真/加权可微的假设下,我们推导了一个修改后的优化问题,该问题包含定价内核的左连续分位数功能和终端案例流。研究了拉格朗日乘子的次优化问题。我们提出一种称为“搜索并剪切算法”的算法来找到最佳解决方案,这对于加权/定价内核比由有限数量的单调片段组成的情况非常有用。我们也证明了最优解的存在性和唯一性。最后,我们为更一般的定价核和概率失真推导了Yaari对偶模型的最优解决方案。本文提出的方法可用于其他投资组合选择模型,以及可用于通过非原子分位数方法解决的问题。

著录项

  • 作者

    Zhang, Zhifan.;

  • 作者单位

    University of Illinois at Chicago.;

  • 授予单位 University of Illinois at Chicago.;
  • 学科 Statistics.;Economics Finance.;Mathematics.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2014
  • 页码 112 p.
  • 总页数 112
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 遥感技术;
  • 关键词

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