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Emergency evacuation route planning considering human behavior during short- and no-notice emergency situations.

机译:紧急疏散路线规划要考虑到在短暂和无注意的紧急情况下的人类行为。

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摘要

Throughout United States and world history, disasters have caused not only significant loss of life, property but also enormous financial loss. The tsunami that occurred on December 26, 2004 is a telling example of the devastation that can occur unexpectedly. This unexpected natural event never happened before in this area. In addition, there was a lack of an emergency response plan for events of that magnitude. Therefore, this event resulted not only in a natural catastrophe for the people of South and Southeast Asia, but it is also considered one of the greatest natural disasters in world history. After the giant wave dissipated, there were more than 230,000 people dead and more than US;This research considers aspects of evacuation routing that have received little attention in research and, more importantly, in practice. Previous EERP models only either consider unidirectional evacuee flow from the source of a hazard to destinations of safety or unidirectional emergency first responder flow to the hazard source. However, in real-life emergency situations, these heterogeneous, incompatible flows occur simultaneously over a bi-directional capacitated lane-based travel network, especially in short- and no-notice emergencies. After presenting a review of the work related to the multiple flow EERP problem, mathematical formulations are presented for the EERP problem where the objective for each problem is to identify an evacuation routing plan (i.e., a traffic flow schedule) that maximizes evacuee and responder flow and minimizes network clearance time of both types of flow. In addition, we integrate the general human response behavior flow pattern, where the cumulative flow behavior follows different degrees of an S-shaped curve depending upon the level of the evacuation order. We extend the analysis to consider potential traffic flow conflicts between the two types of flow under these conditions. A conflict occurs when flow of different types occupy a roadway segment at the same time. Further, with different degrees of flow movement flow for both evacuee and responder flow, the identification of points of flow congestion on the roadway segments that occur within the transportation network is investigated.
机译:在整个美国和世界历史上,灾难不仅造成严重的生命,财产损失,而且造成巨大的财务损失。 2004年12月26日发生的海啸是一个意外发生的灾难的有力例证。这一意外的自然事件从未在该地区发生过。此外,对于如此大规模的事件,缺乏应急计划。因此,这一事件不仅给南亚和东南亚人民造成了自然灾害,而且被认为是世界历史上最大的自然灾害之一。巨浪消散后,有23万多人丧生,而美国则更多;该研究考虑了疏散路线的各个方面,这些方面在研究中,尤其是在实践中很少受到关注。以前的EERP模型仅考虑从危险源到安全目的地的单向撤离人员流,或到危险源的单向紧急情况第一响应方流。但是,在现实生活中的紧急情况下,这些异质,不兼容的流量会同时在基于双向行车道的双向行进网络中同时发生,尤其是在紧急情况和无人注意的紧急情况下。在介绍了与多流程EERP问题相关的工作后,提出了针对EERP问题的数学公式,其中每个问题的目标是确定使疏散人员和响应者流量最大化的疏散路由计划(即交通流时间表)并使两种流量的网络清除时间最小化。此外,我们集成了一般的人类响应行为流模式,其中,根据疏散顺序的级别,累积流行为遵循不同程度的S形曲线。我们将分析扩展为考虑在这些条件下两种流量之间潜在的流量冲突。当不同类型的流同时占据道路段时,就会发生冲突。此外,对于撤离人员和响应人员流,在不同程度的流动运动流情况下,研究了在运输网络内发生的道路段上的交通拥堵点的识别。

著录项

  • 作者单位

    University of Central Florida.;

  • 授予单位 University of Central Florida.;
  • 学科 Engineering Industrial.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2009
  • 页码 107 p.
  • 总页数 107
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 一般工业技术;
  • 关键词

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