本文以青岛市经济社会发展现状为基础，结合城市发展定位和发展规划，分别采用基于人口容量的特征参数类比法、饱和负荷密度特征参数类比法以及空间负荷预测法，对青岛市核心城区饱和负荷进行了预测，为确定城市电网最终规模，并在核心城区用地中为电力可持续发展预留必要的空间提供依据。%Based on the economic and social development status of Qingdao, combined with the development positioning and plan, the saturated power load of Central City District of Qingdao is predicted in this paper. To obtain the predictions three appropriate methods are adopted, respectively based on the characteristic parameters of population capacity analogy, characteristic parameters of saturation load density analogy and the spatial distribution of the load. It will provide evidences to determine the ifnal size of the city grid, and set aside necessary space for the sustainable development of the power in the core of the city.
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