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国内矿业项目并购财务风险预警评价研究

         

摘要

In order to make warning assessment for financial risk of domestic mining project ' M&A , this article first identified the major factors on financial risk by Delphi method ,and then established a warning assessment index system ,defined the index weights by GA-AHP ,and made sure the sutra field and controlled field ,finally put forward a risk warning assessment model of domestic project which based on the GA-AHP and matter element model ,and then applied it into practical cases to verification ,Matlab software was used to calculated the membership degree of the case ,the conclusion is :merqers and acquisitions financial risk level of the practical case is higher and warning signal is orange .%为了对国内矿业项目并购财务风险进行预警评价,本文首先采用德尔菲法对国内矿业项目并购财务风险预警评价的主要因素进行了识别;其次建立了预警评价指标体系,采用遗传层次分析法确定了各预警评价指标的权重,并确定了经典域和节域;最后建立了基于AG-AHP和物元模型的国内矿业项目并购财务风险预警评价模型,并将模型进行了实际案例验证,利用M atlab软件编程计算了各预警评价指标的关联度和综合关联度,得出了该案例的并购财务风险等级为较高,预警信号为橙灯.

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