Objective Toexamine the relationship between drivers'self-assessment driving skills and their crash likelihood and the real accident. Methods 123 drivers completedself-assessed hazard perception skills scale and crash likelihood scale. Results Significant age,gender and driving experience differences were found on self-assess driving skill and crash likelihood. And the scores of drivers' hazard perception skills,crash likelihood and real acci-dents werecorrelated with each other positively. Conclusion Theassessment of drivers' driving skills and crash likeli-hood is influenced by the demographic factors. And the better drivers assessed their driving skills, the higher their crash likelihood and the rate of real accidents.%目的 检验驾驶员自我评估的驾驶技能对自我评估的事故可能性和真实事故的影响,并结合人口学因素,探索影响驾驶员事故可能性的因素.方法 123名驾驶员完成自我评估的危险知觉技能量表和自我评估的事故可能性量表.结果 驾驶员自我评估的驾驶技能和事故可能性存在显著的性别、年龄和驾驶经验差异.自我评估的危险知觉技能、自我评估的事故可能性和真实的事故率三者得分均呈正相关.结论驾驶员驾驶技能和事故可能性的评估受到人口学因素的影响.驾驶员自我评估的危险知觉技能越好,他们自我评估的事故可能性越高,真实事故率也更高.
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