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烟台西北部两次局地大暴雨对比分析

         

摘要

[目的]分析2009年7月和2010年7月烟台西北部2次局地大暴雨过程.[方法]选取2009年7月和2010年7月烟台西北部2次局地大暴雨过程,利用常规和非常规天气资料,从环流背景、物理量场、雷达回波等方面进行对比分析.[结果]2次大暴雨过程均为局地对流性强降水,暴雨落区均位于烟台西北部地区,且均有200 mm以上强降水中心;2次大暴雨过程均受副高和切变线影响,暴雨区均与588 dagpm线位置、西风带低槽、切变线的位置密切相关,是较为典型的副高边缘暖湿气流与西风带低涡、切变线共同作用引起的区域性暴雨过程;低空西南急流为大暴雨的产生提供了充足的水汽来源,大暴雨发生在水汽通量散度中心附近;K指数对大暴雨的发生具有较好的指示作用,大暴雨发生在K指数高值附近,2次大暴雨过程的K指数>34℃,均接近于暴雨落区K指数≥35℃指标;2次大暴雨过程在0.5.仰角的反射率因子最大回波强度均为55 ~ 60 dBz,带状强回波自南向北经过半岛西部地区,形成列车效应.数值预报产品对局地大暴雨的预报也有重要的参考依据.[结论]该研究为今后大暴雨预报提供借鉴和参考.%[Objective] The twice regional rainstorms in northwest Yantai in July in 2009 and July in 2010 were expounded. [Method] The twice regional rainstorm in northwest Yantai in July in 2009 and July in 2010 were selected for comparison analysis by dint of routine and non routine weather data, from the aspects of circulation background, physics quantity, and radar echo etc. [Result] The twice large rainstorm process were regional corrective strong precipitation. The rainstorm fell in the northwest of Yantai and had a strong precipitation center above 200 mm. The twice large rainstorm was affected by subtropical and shear line- The rainstorm area was related to the location of 588 dagpm line, westerly trough, and shear line. It was regional rainstorm of typical subtropical edge warm and wet airstream, combination of low vortex and shear line of westerly. The precipitation occurred around the center of water vapor flux; K index had pretty good indication effect to the generation of rainstorm. Large rainstorm occurred around the place with high K index. The K index of twice large rainstorm was larger than or equal to 34℃, and was close to the rainstorm falling area where K indei was larger than or equal to 35 X.. The reflection factor of twice large rainstorms at 0.5° elevation, the largest echo intensity was 55 to 60 dBz, in strip echo from south to north, through the west peninsula, form ing train effect. The data report product also had important reference basis for the report of regional large rainstorm. [ Conclusion] The study provided references and basis for the report of Urge rainstorm in the future.

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