小布什的外交政策何去何从，引起人们的广泛关注。对小布什外交政策起到重要制约作用的4个主要因素是：国家利益、党派利益、外交班子和公众舆论进行了研究。因为国家利益和党派利益的制约，小布什外交政策不会与民主党的外交政策南辕北辙，也不会完全延续民主党的外交政策，其政策将是一条介于共和党传统保守主义与民主党传统自由主义之间的“新中间”路线。小布什的外交班子在对外政策制定中起到支配性作用，他们虽然仍有着老布什的外交理念，但会凭借着丰富的外交经验，随着国际形势的重大变化，迅速有力的调整外交政策。公众舆论也制约了小布什不会走过分偏激的路线。%Where will George W.Bush's diplomatic policy go? It arousespeople's wide attention. The four restricting factors——the interests of the state,the interests of the parties,diplomatic councilors and public opinion are studied.Restricted by the interests of the state and the parties, Bush's diplomatic policy will not differ much from that of the Democratic Party's.However,it will not continue Democratic Party's policy all over.Their policy will the middle way which stands between Republican traditional conservatism and Democratic traditional liberalism. George Bush's diplomatic councilors will dominate the constitution of its foreign policy.Although they still remains Senior Bush's diplomatic notion,the diplomatic councilors will adjust their diplomatic policy with changes of the international situation relying on their rich experience in dealing with foreign affairs.The public will also constrain Bush to go extreme route.
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