劳动力剩余、劳动力工资和产业结构之间长期以来表现出一种复杂的关系，以致学术界对其间的相互影响难以形成统一的观点。根据中部六省1999-2011年的经济发展数据，构建产业结构变迁与劳动力市场变化之间的联立方程模型，对中部六省劳动力剩余、劳动力工资和产业结构的关系进行实证分析，发现大量的剩余劳动力的存在和工资的上涨对产业结构转型升级有巨大贡献，同时产业结构的变迁也有助于劳动力工资的上涨和农村剩余劳动力的转移。除此之外，内资和内需也是推动中部六省产业结构升级的重要因素，而经济因素和宏观因素是影响工资和剩余劳动力数量的决定性因素。%Surplus labor, labor wage and industrial structure have long presented a complicated relationship so that it is difficult to unify an opinion about their interaction. This paper, according to the panel data of the six central provinces from 1999-2011, creates a simultaneous equation model between the industrial structure change and the labor market change in order to analyze the relationship among the surplus labor, labor wage and industrial structure. The results show the vast surplus labor and labor wage inflation have a huge contribution to the transfer and upgrading of industrial structure. Meanwhile,the industrial structure changes will help the labor wage inflation and the transfer of rural surplus labor. In addition, domestic capital and domestic demand are also the important factors of promoting industrial structure upgrading,while the economic factors and macroscopical factors play a decisive role in labor wage and the number of the surplus labor.
展开▼
