The domestic tourism demand from 2012to 2015 is predicted by means of the grey model. By calculation, we predict the yearly increase of O. 2 billion persons in the domestic tourism from 2012to 2015, a yearly increase rate of 9%. The research shows the domestic tourism demand is on the rise, showing good development trend.%利用灰色模型对2012-2015年国内旅游需求规模进行了预测。通过计算,预测出2012—2015年国内旅游人数每年以2亿人次左右的数量增长,年均增长率为9%。研究表明:中国国内旅游需求规模是不断上升的,国内旅游将呈现良好发展的势头。
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