Marine science and technology is the driving force of the development of the future marine economy in China.To clarify the contribution of this driving force,this paper measured the contribution rate of scientific and technological progress and the efficiency of the eleven coastal provinces and cities of China in 2006-2013,by the Solow Model and the three-stage DEA.By using the Malmquist index model,the efficiency change of the contribution rate of scientific and technological progress was analyzed.The results showed that the contribution rate of marine science and technology progress in our country has changed greatly from the view of time,especially the decrease of 2011-2013;from the spatial perspective,the contribution rate of Guangdong,Guangxi and Hainan in Southern China increased,while the contribution rate of Shanghai,Jiangsu,Zhejiang and Fujian in East China decreased.According to the Malmquist index to determine the reason of efficiency variation,Tianjin,Liaoning and Fujian are the scale efficiency,Shanghai,Guangxi and Hainan are the reason of technological change,and Hebei,Jiangsu,Zhejiang,Shandong and Guangdong are affected by the both.Some relevant recommendations were also put forward.%海洋科技是未来海洋经济发展的重要驱动力量.文章运用索罗模型和三阶段DEA方法测度我国沿海11省(自治区、直辖市)2006-2013年的海洋科技进步贡献率及其效率,并借助Malmquist指数模型对海洋科技进步贡献率的效率变化情况进行分解研究.结果表明:我国海洋科技进步贡献率在时间上变化差异较大,尤其是2011-2013年下降趋势明显;在空间上华南地区的广东、广西和海南的贡献率上升,华东地区的江苏、浙江和上海的贡献率下降;根据Malmquist指数判断效率变化的原因,其中天津、辽宁和福建是规模效率变化,上海、广西和海南是技术变化,河北、江苏、浙江、山东和广东是技术变化和规模效率变化双重驱动.最后,在研究结果的基础上提出相关对策建议.
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