航空器材的库存结构受许多因素影响,如何使库存结构合理是航材管理人员长期以来一直在探索的问题.时间序列预测法就是利用过去的历史数据,推断未来事物的发展规律,它可以消除随机因素对库存数量的影响,使预测更加准确,从而使航材管理人员作出更加合理的决策.%The inventory structure of aviation equipment is influenced by many factors. The reasonable inventory structure is a question which is researched by the managerial personnel of aviation equipment for a long time. The method of forecast by time order apply prior data to deduce the law of development of future things, it can reduce the influence of the random event on inventory quantity, make the forecast become accurate, thereby reasonable decision can be make by the managerial personnel of aviation equipment
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