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From the Academy: Frontiers of finance: Evolution and efficient markets

机译:来自学院:金融前沿:演化与有效市场

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摘要

In this review article, we explore several recent advances in the quantitative modeling of financial markets. We begin with the Efficient Markets Hypothesis and describe how this controversial idea has stimulated a number of new directions of research, some focusing on more elaborate mathematical models that are capable of rationalizing the empirical facts, others taking a completely different tack in rejecting rationality altogether. One of the most promising directions is to view financial markets from a biological perspective and, specifically, within an evolutionary framework in which markets, instruments, institutions, and investors interact and evolve dynamically according to the “law” of economic selection. Under this view, financial agents compete and adapt, but they do not necessarily do so in an optimal fashion. Evolutionary and ecological models of financial markets is truly a new frontier whose exploration has just begun.
机译:在这篇评论文章中,我们探讨了金融市场定量建模方面的一些最新进展。我们从有效市场假说开始,描述这个有争议的想法如何激发了许多新的研究方向,其中一些集中在能够使经验事实合理化的更精细的数学模型上,另一些则完全拒绝理性。最有前途的方向之一是从生物学的角度看待金融市场,尤其是在一个演化框架中,在该框架中,市场,工具,机构和投资者根据经济选择的“规律”相互作用并动态地发展。根据这种观点,金融代理人竞争和适应,但不一定以最佳方式进行。金融市场的进化和生态模型确实是一个刚刚开始探索的新领域。

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