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Computer-Assisted Decision Support for Student Admissions Based on Their Predicted Academic Performance

机译:基于预测的学习成绩的计算机辅助学生录取决策支持

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摘要

>Objective. To develop predictive computational models forecasting the academic performance of students in the didactic-rich portion of a doctor of pharmacy (PharmD) curriculum as admission-assisting tools.>Methods. All PharmD candidates over three admission cycles were divided into two groups: those who completed the PharmD program with a GPA ≥ 3; and the remaining candidates. Random Forest machine learning technique was used to develop a binary classification model based on 11 pre-admission parameters.>Results. Robust and externally predictive models were developed that had particularly high overall accuracy of 77% for candidates with high or low academic performance. These multivariate models were highly accurate in predicting these groups to those obtained using undergraduate GPA and composite PCAT scores only.>Conclusion. The models developed in this study can be used to improve the admission process as preliminary filters and thus quickly identify candidates who are likely to be successful in the PharmD curriculum.
机译:>目标。要开发预测性计算模型,以预测药学博士(PharmD)课程中讲课丰富的部分作为入学辅助工具的学生的学业表现。>方法。在三个入学周期中,所有PharmD候选人都分为两类:完成Gharm≥3的PharmD计划的人;和其余的候选人。使用随机森林机器学习技术基于11个预录取参数开发了一个二元分类模型。>结果。开发了鲁棒的和外部预测模型,对于具有较高水平的候选人,该模型的整体准确性特别高,达到77%或学习成绩低下。这些多变量模型在将这些人群预测为仅通过本科生GPA和综合PCAT分数获得的人群中具有很高的准确性。>结论。本研究开发的模型可用于改善入学过程,作为初步的筛选条件,因此快速确定可能在PharmD课程中取得成功的候选人。

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