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Assessment of Spatial Agglomeration of Agricultural Drought Disaster in China from 1978 to 2016

机译:1978-2016年中国农业干旱灾害空间集聚评价

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摘要

Drought disaster space agglomeration assessment is one of the important components of meteorological disaster prevention and mitigation. Agriculture affected by drought disaster is not only a serious threat to world food security, but also an obstacle to sustainable development. Additionally, China is an important agricultural import and export country in the world. Therefore, we used the global Moran’s I and the local indicators of spatial autocorrelation (LISA) to reveal the spatial agglomeration of agricultural drought disaster in China from1978 to 2016, respectively. The results showed that China’s agricultural drought disaster presents local spatial autocorrelation of geographical agglomeration at national level during the study period. The spatial agglomeration regions of China’s agricultural drought disaster were in Inner Mongolia, Jilin province, Heilongjiang province, Liaoning province, Shanxi province, Hebei province, Shandong province, Shaanxi province and Henan province, indicating that agricultural drought disaster mainly distributed in North and Northwest China, especially occurred in the Yellow River Basin and its north areas. We also found that the overall movement direction of agricultural drought disaster agglomeration regions was northwest, and the maximum moving distance was 722.16 km. Our results might provide insight in early warning and prevention for drought disaster.
机译:干旱灾害空间集聚评估是气象灾害防灾减灾的重要组成部分之一。受干旱灾害影响的农业不仅严重威胁世界粮食安全,而且是可持续发展的障碍。此外,中国是世界重要的农业进出口国。因此,我们分别使用了全球Moran I和局部空间自相关指标(LISA)来揭示中国从1978年到2016年农业干旱灾害的空间集聚。结果表明,在研究期间,中国的农业干旱灾害呈现出国家级地理集聚的局部空间自相关。中国农业干旱灾害的空间集聚区位于内蒙古,吉林省,黑龙江省,辽宁省,山西省,河北省,山东省,陕西省和河南省,表明农业干旱灾害主要分布在华北和西北地区尤其是发生在黄河流域及其北部地区。我们还发现,农业干旱灾害集聚区的总体移动方向为西北,最大移动距离为722.16 km。我们的结果可能为干旱灾害的预警和预防提供见识。

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