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Impacts of external shocks on the decisions of hog supply chains under liquidity constraints from the perspective of commercial credit

机译:商业信贷视角下外部冲击对流动性约束下生猪供应链决策的影响

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摘要

Certain attributes of the hog industry increase the production risk in nodal enterprises of the hog supply chain, leading to high financing costs and eventually resulting in liquidity constraints. When the hog supply chain node enterprises are subjected to external shocks, on the basis of the commercial credit relationship in the supply chain, the entire supply chain generates liquidity risks and systemic risks. We analyze the input and output of the hog supply chain node enterprises under the constraint of liquidity, construct the mathematical model, discuss the dynamic differences of liquidity constraints in different situations, and measures the commercial credit risk and anti-risk ability of the pig supply chain node enterprises. If the external shock is less than a certain value, the current profits of the hog enterprise can entirely make up for the loss caused by external shocks, and the production of the firm will return to its state of equilibrium. If the external shock is large enough, liquidity constraints will seriously restrict the production input of the enterprise, which then leads to a deceleration of production input and may ultimately result in bankruptcy. We believe that the structure of the hog industry supply chain should be constantly adjusted to optimize the industrial upgrading and organizational form of the hog supply chain.
机译:生猪业的某些属性会增加生猪供应链节点企业的生产风险,从而导致高融资成本并最终导致流动性约束。当生猪供应链节点企业遭受外部冲击时,基于供应链中的商业信用关系,整个供应链都会产生流动性风险和系统性风险。分析了流动性约束下生猪供应链节点企业的投入和产出,建立了数学模型,探讨了不同情况下流动性约束的动态差异,并测算了生猪供应的商业信用风险和抗风险能力链节点企业。如果外部冲击小于一定值,则生猪企业的当期利润可以完全弥补外部冲击造成的损失,使企业的生产恢复到均衡状态。如果外部冲击足够大,则流动性约束将严重限制企业的生产投入,从而导致生产投入减速,最终可能导致破产。我们认为,养猪业供应链的结构应不断调整,以优化生猪供应链的产业升级和组织形式。

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