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Event-Based Modeling of Driver Yielding Behavior to Pedestrians at Two-Lane Roundabout Approaches

机译:基于事件的两车道回旋处驾驶员行人屈服行为的建模

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摘要

Unlike other types of controlled intersections, drivers do not always comply with the “yield to pedestrian” sign at the roundabouts. This paper aims to identify the contributing factors affecting the likelihood of driver yielding to pedestrians at two-lane roundabouts. It further models the likelihood of driver yielding based on these factors using logistic regression. The models have been applied to 1150 controlled pedestrian crossings at entry and exit legs of two-lane approaches of six roundabouts across the country.The logistic regression models developed support prior research that the likelihood of driver yielding at the entry leg of roundabouts is higher than at the exit. Drivers tend to yield to pedestrians carrying a white cane more often than to sighted pedestrians. Drivers traveling in the far lane, relative to pedestrian location, have a lower probability of yielding to a pedestrian. As the speed increases the probability of driver yielding decreases. At the exit leg of the roundabout, drivers turning right from the adjacent lane have a lower propensity of yielding than drivers coming from other directions. The findings of this paper further suggest that although there has been much debate on pedestrian right-of-way laws and distinction between pedestrian waiting positions (in the street versus at the curb), this factor does not have a significant impact on driver yielding rate.The logistic regression models also quantify the effect of each of these factors on propensity of driver yielding. The models include variables which are specific to each study location and explain the impact size of each study location on probability of yielding. The models generated in this research will be useful to transportation professionals and researchers interested in understanding the factors that impact driver yielding at modern roundabouts. The results of the research can be used to isolate factors that may increase yielding (such as lower roundabout approach speeds), and can feasibly be incorporated into microsimulation algorithms to model driver yielding at roundabouts.
机译:与其他类型的受控交叉路口不同,驾驶员并非总是遵守回旋处的“行人屈服”标志。本文旨在确定影响驾驶员在两车道回旋处向行人屈服的可能性的因素。它使用逻辑回归基于这些因素进一步模拟了驾驶员屈服的可能性。该模型已应用于全国六个回旋处的两车道进场和出站脚的1150个受控行人过路处。所开发的逻辑回归模型支持先前的研究,即驾驶员在回旋处入口处屈服的可能性高于在出口处。驾驶员倾向于屈服于拿着白蔗的行人,而不是屈从于有眼光的行人。相对于行人位置,在较远的车道上行驶的驾驶员屈服于行人的可能性较低。随着速度增加,驾驶员屈服的可能性降低。在回旋处的出口处,与从其他方向来的驾驶员相比,从相邻车道向右转的驾驶员的屈服倾向要低。本文的研究结果进一步表明,尽管关于行人通行权法律和行人等待位置(在街道还是路边)之间的区别存在很多争论,但是该因素对驾驶员的合格率没有重大影响。逻辑回归模型还量化了这些因素中的每一个因素对驱动程序屈服倾向的影响。这些模型包括特定于每个研究地点的变量,并解释了每个研究地点对产量概率的影响大小。这项研究中生成的模型将对有兴趣了解现代回旋处驾驶员屈服因素的运输专业人员和研究人员有用。研究结果可用于隔离可能会增加产量的因素(例如较低的回旋处进近速度),并可将其切实可行地并入微仿真算法中,以对回旋处的驾驶员屈服进行建模。

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